October 14, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Remstin | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | My Friend | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Reedini | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ethan Hunt | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Buddy Anthony | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Northern Grey | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 1 | Ninety One Assault | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5B | 4 | Now in a Drive | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Playing Hooky | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fallstar | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8B | 7 | Winning Element | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kulin Rock | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quintus Augustus | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bubba Meiser | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Battle of Blenheim | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Strong Side | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Light | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Total Control | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yaalail | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sleigh Ride | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Expensive Taste | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ducru | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bow Town Cat | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Epping Forest | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Goldwood | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vigor | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Rae Anna | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | May Flowers | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Libby’s Tail | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pray for Bourbon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Charmer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Borsa Vento | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Town | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Professor Snape | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Samurai | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bancroft Hall | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asphalt Paving | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Facade | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Down One to Go | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Expresso | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Barbarossa | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | My Mr. Wonderful | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Danny California | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Work of Art | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr. Baskin | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Power | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Encryption Key | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nolinski | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Sea Foam | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anything Pazible | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Smooth Move | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | O Shea Can U See | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Just Bustin | 10.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Leap to Glory | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beach Access | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Fear | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bluegrass Singer | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | English Minister | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 15B | 15 | Bolita Boyz | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Zoot Suit | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5B | 3 | Daddy D T | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | End Play | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10A | 8 | Partly Mocha | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Theycallhimthekid | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Very Very Stella | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Expected Ruler | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | A Fleet Attitude | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Grand Sky | 3.50 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Spring to the Sky | 8.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Gallery | 30.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Futurity S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Smooth B | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Peril | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Like a Fool | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Barry Lee | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mojovation | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Engage | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pebbles S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bellavais | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lido | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rubilinda | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sylphide | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scheme | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party Boat | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dynatail | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adorable Miss | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thais (FR) | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Warm Springs | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Croce d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bellows | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Super Hawk | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hy Brasil | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Ezra | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Lead by Example | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Sutter’s Mill | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bold Illusion | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | There Goes Ben | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | New Jersey John | 3.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Auburn Avenue | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | River of Dreams | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmic Thunder | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Emperor | 6.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Independent Worker | 30.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.