October 12, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Flatexcel | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wolverine | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No Limit | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4B | 3 | Brouillard | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fighting for Grace | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dalaman | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Toothpic | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9B | 8 | Can Go | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Black Bomber | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Colour Guard | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Pinstripes | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hidden Garden | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get the Girls Out | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kickin Grass | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pinky Promise | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Myth of Wealth | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Juja Run | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kells | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Newport Blue | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Klassie Connect | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Whiskey Chick | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reeder | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cha Mono | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Only Liquor | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Draxhall Woods | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Court’s Ruling | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rippin Ride | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Lucky Lotto | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Electrifying | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ambidextrous Alex | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Highroller Dave | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mydrinkselection | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moolamiss | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger Eyes | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be a Factor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arcelor | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salute the Warrior | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Trick | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Taken Back | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Arya | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Hallie’s Hero | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | True Loyalty | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Lion’s Share | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Heza Kitten | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Discovered | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Holiday | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Funny Duck | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ohmymic | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Storm Runner | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dreaming of Jo Jo | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Have At It | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Go for Moonshine | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Silver Giant | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hello World | 30.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 16 | 12 | Osceola Point | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tejas Ranger (IRE) | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Taketothestreets | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 8A | 7 | Ain’t Misbehavin | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shut the Box | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Luna de Loco | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lieutenant Seany O | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aces High | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rich Daddy | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Kind of Crazy | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | El Charro | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Back Togetheragain | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Diamond Tap | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | South of Sanity | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Stellaire | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Striper | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Faith Healer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lifefullofreinbows | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chris Cove Town | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Socata | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Focused | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Krissy’s Candy | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Graceland | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just Move On | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Singing Bullet | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matrooh | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Rhythm | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Track | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goats Town | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shareholder Value | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frammento | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sultry | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz a Treasure | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vision of Justice | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Music | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jehozacat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Quick Quick Quick | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Peeps | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waki Patriot | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Rubi | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Elizabeth Nicole | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lullingstone | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Remedy | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lenamarie | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beau Belle | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stella Malone | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Portrait of Emma | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Rosa | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Deadline | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Burke’s Garden | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ruthless Child | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Brassy and Sassy | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Vibrant Spirit | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lil Moresummertime | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Mo | 3.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Henry’s Honey | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Conquistadora | 30.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Boom Pow Pow | 15.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.