Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 12, 2017

October 12, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Itasca Falls 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Hot Spice Girl 1.80 2.5 5-1
2 2 Gold Value 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Miss Modela 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Theresa’s Honor 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 No Wedding 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 Belle of Bowdoin 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Sleepin N Cheatin 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mission of Honor 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Know What Im Sayin 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cleave 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Tado 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Rogue Warrior 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Flatteroni 4.00 6 11-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Sam Sparkle 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Jockey Jills Dream 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Wise Mac 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Burford 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Port More 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Distinctivelygreat 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Oxford Street 6.00 7 13-1
6 6 Spare the Kid 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 4 G. I. Girl 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Cat Giumarello 2.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
1 1 Bella Nusta 8.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
5 3 Chief Inca 6.00 4 8-1
4 3 Ocala Chrome 4.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
3 2 Miss Waterbug 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Let the Music Play 3.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Papacho 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Smart Question 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Hurricane Harold 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Indian Song 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Ziwiye 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Strawberry Red 2.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 High Frequency 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Read All About It 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Street Thunder 2.50 2.5 5-1 Scr
3 3 Baby I’m Blue 6.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
4 3 Baby Run to Me 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Skirts On Fire 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Can’t Stop Believn 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Fleur de Force 4.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Stormy Salute 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Gasprom 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Wing Fighter 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Majestic Doctor 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Let Him Shine 6.00 4 8-1 Scr
6 5 Far From Awesome 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Bird Quest 2.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 N E Johnny Francis 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Prestons Princess 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Lady’s Island 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Boheme de Lavi 1.80 2.5 5-1
3 3 Staff Sgt Reckless 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Maria Got Even 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 La Key 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Souper Knight 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Private Safe 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Paddington Express 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Far From Normal 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Da Winner Is 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 All Abouthe Salsa 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Just Irish 6.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.