October 9, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unaquoi | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Swapl | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Wantagh Queen | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5A | 3 | La Nina | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dealer’s Girl | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Misty On Pointe | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steel Bay | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Kitty’s Right | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Sazerac Girl | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Gray Veil | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Andiemac | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6A | 4 | Candycoated Dame | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Believe in Royalty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broad Surprise | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Real Factor | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Vision | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lonely Weekend | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Millionaire Runner | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whirlin Curlin | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Beyond Forever | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | So Innocent | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nancy R | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Citizen by Day | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Love in Excess | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Whenallelsefails | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 6 | Prettyasnewmoney | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Dorothyfromdublin | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proudly | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Thirsty Bandit | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tarheel Raven | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Rosetta Red | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 7 | Annapolis Class | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moonshine Lady | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Lilly Bay | 20.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Rosie McGuire | 30.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bun Bun | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hashtag Selfie | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor and Blessing | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jax | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Majorie Mugs | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Member | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Durango Girl | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Deal | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magnificentmindset | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | All I Karabout | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Magician | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Fantasize | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | On Tenterhooks | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Bourbon Commander | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Appa | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Yorky | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Ice Tea | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exclusive Lake | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | C B Bodemester | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Romeo | 4.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Scrapple | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Tuffy’s Lucky | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 5 | Mott | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No Fear (IRE) | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Da’blues Dancer | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Scarlett’s Ransom | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Mini Donation | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lead Us to the Bar | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wazzala | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Bucklebury | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kitty Bank | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kinahora | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sasana (GB) | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heaven’s Door | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Here’s Paco | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Pferd Soldat | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Xtra Wisemann | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Platinum Pound | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tiz From Boston | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Lake Party | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Fun Prospect | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sadler Bay | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Hepcat | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Patsy | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Kaz Country | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Warleigh | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Hardest Way | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buckwellspent | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Chaparral | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adversary | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bestkindoftrouble | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discreet Heat | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smile for Eternity | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Most Beautiful (GB) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Mile End | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catching Fireflies | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Zensational Merry | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Fields of Song (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Just too Much | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Lemon Lover | 3.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Bioterp | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Royalty | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | If I Was a Boy | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.