October 9, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Familyofroses | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Big Mara | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Special Dividend | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Slam Chowder | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E Warfare | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cats Halo | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jamyson ‘n Ginger | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Louisville First | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Divine Miss Grey | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wild About Harry | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heavenly Score | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Littlemissbusiness | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bernadiva | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jules N Rome | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sugarille | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Style | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Creek | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Opus Uno | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Mikayah | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Connie A | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holyholyholy | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moondance | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pound Note | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Climb the Ladder | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Forever Daisy | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rodeo Wind | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Stonefactor | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Miss Jen | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Merlins Muse | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J C S Star | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Micky’s Pride | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pretty River | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Berber | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regalian | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bartletts Mark | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whyamisolucky | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stubolt | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outvoted | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guyanese | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ray’s The Bar (GB) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Baratti | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twenty Four Seven | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Tipsy Kitten | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Pioneer Spirit | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Any Questions | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 3 | Halloween Horror | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Tiz a Chance | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Star Empire (GB) | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gift Box | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Harlan Punch | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Doyouknowsomething | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Raagheb | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Caviar Czar (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Becker’s Galaxy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Total Tap | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Knickerbocker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Delta Prince | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Forge (GB) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blacktype (FR) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muqtaser | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Daddy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sir Dudley Digges | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camelot Kitten | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mark My Style | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Hello Don Julio | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Grey Gatsby (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vulcan’s Forge | 2.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Spring Quality | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Southern Gal | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | English Soul | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carrera Cat | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Scatback | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Kreesie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chiclet’s Dream | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Very Charming | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Straw Hat | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Headfirst | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.