October 8, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Glory | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speakers | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Premiere Etoile | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lethal Legacy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonshine Annie | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Pi Romancer | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jill Madden | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R Sunday Surprise | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avail | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Krissys Manicure | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin’s Journey | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Omerta | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snaked | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievious Lass | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritualist | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Family Girl | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pulpit Rider | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empress of Lov | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharona Sunset | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Estherfourfourteen | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silverspun Pickup | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mama’s Kid | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fracas | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Great Ma Neri | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factorofwon | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trust Fund Kitty | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lake Geneva | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Polished | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Sophie Grace | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Limari | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Ever So True | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luminoso | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camino Song (IRE) | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roses and Candy | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – L.a. Woman S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Unique Bella | 0.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Karen | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bad Ju Ju | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cuddle Alert | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lunar Empress | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sturdy One | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Dis Smart Cat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | What a Ten | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Mosey | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sly Humor | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bitzka | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betdesilvergold | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Her Big Moment | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Norwegian Spy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gemini Journey | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gosofar | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Vegas Vic | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tatar | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Papa | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Copper Wind | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Accreditation | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Matlock | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catfish Hunter | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tule Fog | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chidamac | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hes Knot Unusual | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jes Jaa | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Turf | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kafister | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Dude (GB) | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Native Treasure | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Old Man Lake | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Rob | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Love | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tasunke Witco | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nardo | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Batti Man (ARG) | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Red Tie Day | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord of Chaos | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Atomic Rule | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crown the Kitten | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secreto Primero | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burger and Fries (FR) | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beantown Boys | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pound Piece (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buymeabond | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Verraco | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.