October 8, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Grogger |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Quick Thinker |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Fergie’s Lady |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Jermyn Street |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Keep Your Distance |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Andrasta |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Expect a Kitten |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
11 |
8 |
Miss Bob |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
La La Bamba |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Follow the Petals |
4.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Fed Up Fired Up |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
V. I. P. Code |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Stroll Smokin |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Wonder How |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Highland Park Hero |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Big Bella Brown |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Arazi Like Move |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Phonemyposseagain |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Old Dude |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Leafy Shade (IRE) |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
5 |
Folk Magic |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Why Not Be Queen |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Full of Zip |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Regal Roma |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Saint Mamie |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Wind Tartare (FR) |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Mini Hero |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Toby Girl |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Battle Tale |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Richie’s Lady |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Perennial |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lil Habit of Mine |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
No Picnic |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Phantom Shot |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Blondie Girl |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Iggy Loco |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
10 |
6 |
Kaitain |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Salt Mine |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tennessee Wildcat |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Alarming |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Gold Braid |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Bobby the Boss |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Chateau de Vizille |
3.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Lost Story |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Greek Prince |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
T Sizzle |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Cape Apache |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
12 |
6 |
Bigboldbok |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hopkins Choice |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
13 |
7 |
Put Em Up |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Rocky Love |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
War Pipe |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Nico’s Nuummite |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jammer |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
All Spun Up |
3.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Offshore Trip |
3.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Lambourn |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
11 |
6 |
Jakesoutcaster |
8.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Derecho |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Lady Bellamy |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Americana |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Flatter Me Zanja |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Star Super |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
My Country |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Miss Cobblestone |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Discreet Deceit |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Tickled Pink |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Stormy Embrace |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Scip’s Sonata |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
English Minister |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
12 |
6 |
Furyofthenorsemen |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Wolf Rock |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Full Salute |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Indian Defence |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Doctor Mounty |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6A |
4 |
Double Whammy |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8A |
8 |
Oak Bluffs |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Uncle Youdge |
6.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Warrioroftheroses |
4.50 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
5 |
Perfect Cross |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Admirals War Chest |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
3 |
Six Tonsafun |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Hissy Fit |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Rare Integrity |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Little Lies |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
13 |
5 |
Sur Empire (GB) |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
So Royal |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
My Juliana |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Exchanging Secrets |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
10 |
2 |
I Just Wanna Win |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
French Romance |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
4 |
1 |
Crystal Pier |
3.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
12 |
4 |
Ermine and Purrs |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Zipline |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Little Stella |
15.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Jersey Life |
6.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
Scr |
16 |
16 |
Stormy Salute |
10.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.