Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 8, 2017

October 8, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Radiant Beauty 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Night Owl 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Kasbach 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Closing Statement 12.00 4.6 9-1
3A 3 Delta House 8.00 4.9 9-1 Scr
6 5 Silver Fern 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Incleveland 6.00 5 9-1
8A 7 Bird Key 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Fancy Kitten 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Ultimate Cause 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Sunrise Ruby 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tisbury 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 War Canoe 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Questeq 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Weekend Hottie 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Wish Upon 12.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 No Hiding Place 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Rockport Kat 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sir Bond 4.00 3.4 6-1
7A 7 War Eagle’s Return 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Will Did It 3.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 At Guard 5.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Play Big 12.00 5.9 11-1
4A 4 Tug of War 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Chosen One Elijah 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 1 Redhairdon’tcare 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 2 Miss Aliphant 10.00 3 6-1
8 5 Beyond Grace 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 1 Lezendary 4.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
2 1 Pecan Pattie 20.00 3.4 6-1 Scr
6 3 Take Charge Tina 20.00 4.1 8-1
11 8 Princess Char 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 4 Glossy 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 6 Shanghai Jewel 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Solitary Gem 15.00 6 11-1 Scr
12 9 Fly So High 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 7 Karen’s Gem 15.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Queen Blossom (IRE) 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Paige 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Feeling Bossy 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Texting 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Galileo’s Song (IRE) 2.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Evidently 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Chicadoro (GB) 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 13 Uncle Sigh 10.00 2.9 5-1 Scr
8 8 Orino 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Startup Nation 3.00 5.3 10-1
5A 5 Broken Engagement 5.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Samadi Sky 20.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 With Exultation 10.00 7 13-1
14A 14 Control Group 5.00 7.7 15-1 Scr
1 1 Blue Belt 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Yummy Bear 6.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Dot Matrix 12.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Cliffs of Dover 30.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Chilly Bon Bon 20.00 10.4 20-1
11 11 Leaveematthegate 15.00 10.9 21-1
3 3 The J Y 20.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Frizette S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Separationofpowers 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Maya Malibu 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Purrfect Miss 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Caledonia Road 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Go 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Teen Angel 30.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Critique 6.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Drama Run 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Strategic Dreams 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Wall of Compassion 12.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flower Bowl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Grand Jete (GB) 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 3 Dacita (CHI) 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Zhukova (IRE) 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Beauly (GB) 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 War Flag 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Guilty Twelve 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 10 Prognostication 3.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Herecomesyourman 8.00 3 6-1 Scr
2 2 Polar City 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Panama Papers 4.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Alpha Team 5.00 6 11-1
8 7 Arch Contender 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Wingman 10.00 7.4 14-1
14 14 Street Review 30.00 8.7 16-1 Scr
7 6 Champagne Papi 20.00 9.1 17-1
4 3 Street Code 10.00 9.3 18-1
6 5 Cookie Crisp 6.00 9.7 18-1
12 11 Shidoshi 20.00 10.7 20-1
16 16 Author 30.00 11 21-1 Scr
15 15 Knight Errant 30.00 12.4 23-1 Scr
5 4 Zeppelin Ride 30.00 13 25-1
3 3 Critics Award 30.00 14.6 28-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.