October 7, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cause for Pardon | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Michael Mundo | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fabrication | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ima Take Charge | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dramatic Ride | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Pilot | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snazzy Dresser | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fight On Forever | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Virghazi | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wheres Hollywood | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Prophecy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Obviously Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blackjackcat | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mach One Rules | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He Will | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cistron | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bird Is the Word | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tequila Joe | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Puig | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Cruiser | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Juanito | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Williston Dude | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Mojo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bardstown | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New Dancer | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Antioch | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | City of Light | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Samson | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coils Gold | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Americanize | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Pleasure | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Best Two Minutes | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silken Spy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Katherine | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Thisoleheartofmine | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into Glamour | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Great Ma Neri | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Baytown Juliet | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Favorite Trip | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orageuse | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bunny Yogurt | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In the Jeans | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Heaven Escape | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Journal Entry | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Sappho (IRE) | 3.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Biscate | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Anthem | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ransom the Moon | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roy H | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Expectations | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Edwards Going Left | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Hinx | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Royal Trump | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Respect the Shot | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Butte City | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Oh Man | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Bar | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Jeanne Run | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Desert Black | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lipster | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catability | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Swingtime S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mrs McDougal | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Insta Erma | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Valeur (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jeremy’s Legacy (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Belvoir Bay (GB) | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Show Stealer | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Do the Dance | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kristo | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | City Steel | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Kidding | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tribal Jewel | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’malreadythere | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dadtaughtmewell | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shackleford Banks | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indygo Bo | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneerof the West | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | El Super | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blanket of Ice | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muchos Besos | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Swinger | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shazara | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tammy’s Window | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looking At Thelake | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Road Test | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ragazza Di Vola | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fly Far Away | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blondy’s Reward | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Swirls | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bridal Arch | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookinforadanger | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pattin for a Dance | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.