October 7, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ian Smith | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cohen’s Kat | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’tsellhimshort | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chipit | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Only the Truth | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duel At Dusk | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Made of Steel | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | M J’s Knight | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sahara Goal | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sergeant J W R | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Fire | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Abuela Loca | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Speak for Yourself | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Damisela | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Courageous Lynne | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Song of Joy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Flashy Siren | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Master Chief | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Altruism | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | To Blave | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Court Note | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Offlee Cloudy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Driven West | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redneck Cowboy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Lucky Stiff | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Point Lockout | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Little Lu | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pogey | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 2 | Schwartzology | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Rory P. | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Revolving Account | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Nineothreefive | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lovely Time | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | My Silver Belle | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Hoxie | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Wise Trade | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mister Nofty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Colonel Sharp | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Jrock | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Spender | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Call Wil | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Fearthefalcon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Anytime Anyplace | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Youdge | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Expected Ruler | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Your Pace Or Mine | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Jet | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Late Breaking News | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Artistic Drifter | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mavericks Gun | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurry Up Alan | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | It Behooves Me | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Do a Legger | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Gary | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Sensibility | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belly Dancer | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bluegrass Demon | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | E Biscuit | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ice Cold Cash | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Chief | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Enduring Erin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Believe Indeed | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shes Dynomite | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Superling | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shekels | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 4 | Roman Reign | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lenape Rim | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Taller Sister | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Moon River Baby | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I Dream of Lois | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 5 | Just My Game | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ultimate Avary | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Plum Pretty S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Disco Rose | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imply | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Power of Snunner | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mama Jones | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Soul | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ransom Past Due | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Trace of Grace | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | My Uncle Al | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Josh’s Hero | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Machu Picchu Sky | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eastern Front | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Six Blade | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Humor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saratoga San | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On the Wall | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curly’s Pal | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bubba Chub | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid’s Kid | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | West Shore Drive | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.