October 7, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ms. Summation | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Girl Abby | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Evenscore | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mizz Toshiba | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Need the Wall | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arch Away | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Biloxi Princess | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Janelle | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belaire Drive | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose Candy | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Candy | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brooklynsway | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Mayla | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kathballu | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Athena | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Ponchatrain | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Legacy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquistador | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tricks to Doo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rubus | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cove Blue | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Raining Moolah | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Plainsman | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grateful Cause | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Supernumerary | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pryor | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Greeley Can Win | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Come On Dover | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Derby Dreamer | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Retaliated | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Warrior | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Arrival | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Mischief | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eclipsed Moon | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Bankable | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lemonade Thursday | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Lane | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nanoosh | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Orbatron | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quality Rolls | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slot | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Artesia Wells | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meistermind | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sergeant McNerney | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Woodford S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Latent Revenge | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Balandeen | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Saturday | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hogy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indy Hill | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Panthera | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mongol Bull | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commend | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bucchero | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Thoroughbred Club Of America S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bendable | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Finley’sluckycharm | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Looker | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ivy Bell | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Grace’s Treasure | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chalon | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vertical Oak | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | True Romance | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – First Lady S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zipessa | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dona Bruja (ARG) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dickinson | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hawksmoor (IRE) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roca Rojo (IRE) | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Liz | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Delectation (GB) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Free Drop Billy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ten City | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ezmosh | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Resolution | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Enticed | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Givemeaminit | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bravazo | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ready Prospector | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lone Sailor | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lionite | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captivating Moon | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lone Rock | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Shadwell Turf Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Flatlined | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Temple City | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Applicator | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divisidero | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Le Ken (ARG) | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heart to Heart | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suedois (FR) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | American Patriot | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mondialiste (IRE) | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dimension (GB) | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tyler U | 50.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Offering Plan | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ballagh Rocks | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Christian C | 50.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Honor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grade One | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Iona Mobe | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Sensational Zip | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Puertorican Style | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ripe | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Candy Zip | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 12 | Fascilitator | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bar Ryder | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nottoway | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seauxtale | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Zig Zillion | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blanco S | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 11 | Jonathan McD | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riddling Reason | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.