Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 7, 2017

October 7, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Ms. Summation 3.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Our Girl Abby 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Evenscore 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Mizz Toshiba 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Need the Wall 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Arch Away 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Biloxi Princess 5.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 My Girl Janelle 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Belaire Drive 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Rose Candy 10.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Southern Candy 15.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Brooklynsway 8.00 2.4 5-1 Scr
4 3 Mayla 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Kathballu 1.80 3.1 6-1
5 4 Athena 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lake Ponchatrain 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sweet Legacy 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Conquistador 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Tricks to Doo 4.00 3 6-1
6 5 Rubus 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Cove Blue 4.00 4.4 8-1 Scr
10 9 Raining Moolah 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Plainsman 15.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Grateful Cause 20.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
11 10 Supernumerary 10.00 5.9 11-1
13 13 Pryor 12.00 6.4 12-1 Scr
14 14 Greeley Can Win 15.00 6.7 13-1 Scr
4 3 Come On Dover 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Derby Dreamer 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 7 Retaliated 30.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Rocket Warrior 30.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Arrival 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Tiz Mischief 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Eclipsed Moon 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 He’s Bankable 12.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Lemonade Thursday 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Victory Lane 5.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Nanoosh 30.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
5 5 Orbatron 6.00 8 15-1
10 10 Quality Rolls 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Slot 4.00 9.5 18-1
13 12 Artesia Wells 20.00 10 19-1
4 4 Meistermind 15.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Sergeant McNerney 30.00 12.8 24-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Woodford S. Presented By Keeneland Select

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Latent Revenge 12.00 2 4-1
7 7 Balandeen 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mongolian Saturday 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Hogy 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Indy Hill 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Conquest Panthera 3.50 5.5 10-1
9 9 Mongol Bull 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Commend 3.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Bucchero 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Thoroughbred Club Of America S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Bendable 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Finley’sluckycharm 0.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 I’m a Looker 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Ivy Bell 8.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
5 5 Grace’s Treasure 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Chalon 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Vertical Oak 5.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 True Romance 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – First Lady S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Zipessa 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Dona Bruja (ARG) 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Dickinson 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Hawksmoor (IRE) 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Roca Rojo (IRE) 2.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 One Liz 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Delectation (GB) 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Free Drop Billy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ten City 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ezmosh 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Bourbon Resolution 8.00 4 8-1
13 13 Enticed 15.00 5 9-1 Scr
7 7 Givemeaminit 3.50 5 9-1
5 5 Bravazo 30.00 6.8 13-1
12 11 Ready Prospector 30.00 8 15-1
3 3 Lone Sailor 12.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Lionite 12.00 9 17-1
11 11 Captivating Moon 20.00 10.5 20-1 Scr
10 10 Crea’s Bklyn Law 20.00 12.3 23-1
6 6 Lone Rock 30.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Shadwell Turf Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Flatlined 20.00 3 6-1
8 8 Miss Temple City 3.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Applicator 30.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Divisidero 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Le Ken (ARG) 30.00 5 9-1
10 10 Heart to Heart 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Suedois (FR) 15.00 6 11-1
14 14 American Patriot 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Mondialiste (IRE) 4.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Dimension (GB) 20.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Tyler U 50.00 9.3 17-1
12 12 Offering Plan 15.00 10 19-1
6 6 Ballagh Rocks 10.00 11 21-1
11 11 Christian C 50.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Curlin’s Honor 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Grade One 3.00 2 4-1
15 15 Iona Mobe 10.00 4 8-1 Scr
6 6 Sensational Zip 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Puertorican Style 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Ripe 10.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Candy Zip 10.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
14 12 Fascilitator 10.00 9 17-1
4 4 Bar Ryder 15.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Nottoway 15.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Seauxtale 12.00 10.5 20-1
12 10 Zig Zillion 12.00 11.8 22-1
10 10 Blanco S 30.00 12.8 24-1 Scr
13 11 Jonathan McD 15.00 13.5 26-1
3 3 Riddling Reason 20.00 14.8 28-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.