October 6, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Herunbridledpower |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Smil’n From Above |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Where’s the D |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Lirica Heat (ARG) |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Forthenineteen |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Nazareth |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miss Fireball |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Octofy |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Southern Treasure |
3.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Scathing |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Lori’s Attitude |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Schwary’s Girl |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Paddy Jean |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Arrowsphere |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Twirling Apples |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mag the Mighty |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
D’ Platinum |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Tiffany Diamond |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Christmas Carol |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Coalinga Hills |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Snowdust |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Ciao Bella Rosa |
8.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Molinita |
30.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Lady Acclamation |
30.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Ramona Lover |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Valedictoriette |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Californiasummer |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Grace Hopper |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
My Carmela |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Dressed in Prada |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Purrfect of Course |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bona Fide Image |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Christy Jackson |
4.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Acclaimed Cat |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Count On Nikki |
6.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Champagne Elegance |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Pomp and Party |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Privy |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Norwegian Spy |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Princess Dorian |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Awesometastic |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pied N True |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Blissful Lady |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Li’l Grazen |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Party Hostess |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Royal Astronomer |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Brookes All Mine |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Candy Boss |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Out Ofthe Ordinary |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Jennyway U Want It |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Joyable |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Lookinforadanger |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Comet Sixty Two |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Well Caught (IRE) |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Scatterling (IRE) |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Summer Lady |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Peach Cove (NZ) |
4.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
An Unusual Group |
3.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Mangita |
8.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Thorpe d’Oro |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
California Street |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Brulee |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Captivate |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Liberty Park |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sergio |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ziconic |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Activated |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Principal Bob |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Dangerously Close |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Divine Spark |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tee Em Eye |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Red Stich |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Dreamy Gal |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bold At Night |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Powder |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
All of a Sudden |
3.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ms Wakaya |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Love Recipe |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Be Mine |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
West Coast Bias |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Freedom Journey |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Painting Corners |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Chocolate Coated |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Resilient Humor |
50.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Angel Allie |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ava Forty Seven |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Moon Kitty |
8.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Shezroxiie |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Robin’s Love |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Sugary |
8.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Cash Prize |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Nicarra (IRE) |
12.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.