October 5, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
High Believing |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Magic Five |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Shake D’ Bone |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Captain Alex |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
I Heart Junior |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Forged Signature |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Seventysevenwilow |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ready to Serve |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
All Abouthe Salsa |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Romantic Affair |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Sophie Sayz |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Carmina Burana |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Friends Talk |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
The Two Nancy’s |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Sharp Lacey |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pride Leader |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Miss Cay O’Sea |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Star in Dubai |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Regal Treasure |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Peggys Music Maker |
8.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
My Little Princess |
12.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1A |
5 |
Dats Her |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
2 |
Terrificville |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Royalty for Life |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Pennyfeather |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
9 |
Fashion Break |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Irish Paulina |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
7 |
8 |
Cobras Dragon Lady |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2B |
7 |
Alydarius |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Daray |
4.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
6 |
Tidy Stripe |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Ghost Train |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dot Notation |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Stakes On a Plane |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Peaka Ballerina |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Libation |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Miss Impazible |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Queen Nekia |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Carly Angel |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gator Girl |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Brazilian Princess |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Carupano |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Mountain Cry |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Flatter Me Big |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Metal Magic |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hot Squad |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Speedy Mexican |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tradfest |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Seat of Honor |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Union Blockade |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Birdsnest Party |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Promethean |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
New World |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Finglas |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Telling You Twice |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Junonia |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
End of an Era |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Winter Melody S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Moonlight Basin |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Super Sharp |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cayman Croc |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Enterprising Lady |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Analyze |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
In the Navy Now |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Saida |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Who’s the Lady |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
4 |
Good Save |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Plenty Elusive |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
3 |
Lucky Balladier |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ghostly Games |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
10 |
7 |
Special Intention |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Harv Won’t Tap |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
11 |
8 |
Immunity |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Dream Doctor |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Muggsamatic |
4.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rocket Road |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
12 |
9 |
Ousby |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
13 |
10 |
Chocolateicecream |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Odlum |
5.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Total Joint |
4.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
KAO MALOAN SWA |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
CHNDAKASEXPRESS |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
MYSTICAL MHF |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
RB SAND CASTLE |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
LIL DUDE AA |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
THESS IS AWESOME |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
CANDY LAND MAN |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.