October 2, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Greatness | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tripocha | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Game | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natalie La Rose | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghazi’s Stone | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hersisterisachub | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Lou | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Frequently | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alexia | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Gadwall | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Mamacita | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Navajo Kitten | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Megan’s Muse | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Sour Lemon Drop | 1.60 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Motivation | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Rover | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Sidney | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | It Doesnt End Well | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Start Jumping | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chippewawhitechief | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aiken Prep | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blitzensmajikreign | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Geepers Creepers | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Gally’s Answer | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Persuasive Girl | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zafiro Azul | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Campari | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guchi Gold | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Illusion | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Mill and Gloria | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Candy Dance | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Judge Lee | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Raucous | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Risque Express | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Norma’s Charm | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Theodora B. | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grazen Honor | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Our Juliet | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smarty Pi | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mechuda | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wild Willy Dean | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Got It | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Encore | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rest Assured | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Am the Man | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heroic Indeed | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buzz With Alex | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Spearhead | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Mar Vista Miguel | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | His Reins of Fire | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tampa Bay Blue | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shake Things Up | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sinatra | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crimson Hayes | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Enduring Honor | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Sunset District | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rapo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crafty Time | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vinceremos | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broad Axe Bernie | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Branded Hand | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whitfields Return | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thoroughbred Fuel | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Uplifting | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | He’s Got Talent | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Blue Y Gold (ARG) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bust Another | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Red Razzo | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Great Stuff | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Measured | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Billy Badpay | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Catmancan | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Getup Stayup | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Boilermaker | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | These Blues | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Instant Replay | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Only You | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Diamond Prince | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forest Friends | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.