October 2, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
White Pass |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Negev |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Safely Touch |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Brahms Sweets |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Coconut Pop |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Danceforthedevil |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Angels Altar |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Royal Moment |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Goose Town |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Abie |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Play Me Now |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
War At Sunrise |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Junior Jokester |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pintoresco |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
5 |
Dan’s Girl |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Kowboy’s Deelite |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1A |
9 |
Turning the Table |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Smoke Out |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Abets Abet |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Sea Pebble |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Miss Steffi |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Smoke the Hunt |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
She’s Coal Hearted |
10.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Sir Ray |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mist On the Moskva |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Master Zeus |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Testudo |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Vakeesh |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Smokinwatchstopper |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Scrapple |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Crea Can Do |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Royal Seer |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Abide by Me |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Thought Partner |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
6 |
My Man Dan |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Dennis’ Diamond |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
To the Stars |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Fort Boonesborough |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Awake At T Wire |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Can’tmakethisup |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Echo Libra |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1A |
9 |
Just Irish |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Camisole |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Showreel (GB) |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Lakota |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Kitten Smitten |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Janine Melnitz |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Court of Love |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Al Hayyah (IRE) |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Emelina |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Patriotic Endeavor |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Desert Folly |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Party Nights (GB) |
8.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Madame Curie |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Blue Chip Prospect |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Candymankando |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
You’re a Survivor |
1.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dialect |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Battle Zone |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Flying Crusader |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Gilgimesh |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Seven Point Six |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Im All Business |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bringhomethecrown |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sterlings Dolly |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bear Moon |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Summer Cocktail |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Don’t Panic |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
J Be K’s Sonnet |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
DAZE OF AWE |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
SISAZDESTINY |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
SAND TOKEN |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
DESERT DEW |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
KKAT BALLOU |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
SOME BEACH SOMEWHERE |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
OMEGA CS |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.