October 1, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Bilky Bluz |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Viva Forever |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mozambique Gold |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dawnmino |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Alice’s War |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Scatter the Silver |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Little Christmas |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Lailas Princess |
0.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Si Muchacha |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Stormbeam |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Pasture Curfew |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Smashing Star |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Upup’nthereshegoes |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Road to Victory |
0.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bel Tempo |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Vivacitas |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Mo Flash |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Glamour Lady |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Auntie Katherine |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
True Ambition |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Buckden House |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Mahogany Cat |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Luckbealady Now |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Silver Ring |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ginger Candy |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Its a Lady’s World |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
I’ll Take the Cake |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Flirtin for Certin |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bareinthemoonlight |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Hampstead Heath |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Silver Sidney |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tale of Ronin |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Gray Phantom |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Primordia |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Golden Jiggs |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Arthur’s Pass |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Fleetway |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bangla Dancer |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Deesse Nike |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Aheadbyacentury |
0.00 |
0.9 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Westmoreland |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Toupha |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Corot |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Oroscopo |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Uno Champ |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Octoberfest |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Maximum Entropy |
0.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Triple Chocolate |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Khawlah |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Baby Girl Burt |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lady Nicky |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Glib Marylin |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Abogada |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Grey S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Peppered |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Piven |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Like What I See |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Archaggelos |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lookin to Strike |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tale of Vienna |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Leopold |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
First Premio |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Aurora Way |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Grom |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Conquest Cavalry |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Glencairn |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Conquest Eliminatr |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lapochka |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Carlos Sixes |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Fullthrottle Kid |
0.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Salieri |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Silver Wings Reven |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Robustious |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Golden Exchange |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Jacob’s Well |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Apollo Benfica |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Signature Twirl |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Philngood |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Executive Cry |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Prison Padre |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.