September 30, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Bert Allen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Popsracer | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Gracer | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Envoy | 0.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | River Date | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | C B Bodemester | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runninginthevale | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Max James | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Wildcat Rising | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Not Above Love | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dominic’s Pride | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hydro | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love My Sisters | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archi d’Oro | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Communion Money | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | True Determination | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dear Charlotte | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking Waterford | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Brookmeade S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Northern Eclipse | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Armoire | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Street Miz | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Secret Or Not | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Sandy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Queen Caroline | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zenbennie | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sue Me | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Biogenic | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostwalker | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strident | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Small | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Major Metro | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cobh | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamliner | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Sultana | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Punch Line S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Fly E Dubai | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awake the Day | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Homespun Hero | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wing Fighter | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lawyer Dave | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Two Notch Road | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lime House Louie | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preachin’ George | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Cryptos’ Holiday | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Oakley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Northern Eclipse | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Up Hill Battle | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awake the Day | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Exaggerated | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Grace Is Ready | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cross Roads | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Do What I Say | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Daniella | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brindabella | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Sister Says | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trish’s Wish | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Commonwealth Oaks Presented By The Virginia Equine Alliance And The Virginia Hbpa
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Flower Fashion (FR) | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canny | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Reunion | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taperge | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charged | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rymska (FR) | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Betty G | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chubby Star | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | In the Lee | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fly By | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tower of Texas | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catapult | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Ops | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Ring Weekend | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Xmas Sky | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blacktype (FR) | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Projected (GB) | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glorious Empire (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Jamestown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Virginia Fable | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Request | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wolverette | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yes to the Dress | 0.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clark’s Kryptonite | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holding Fast | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Here and Now | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Sister | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Saguaro Row | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honey Fireball | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Striking | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dothraki Sea | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pearl Gem | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Oh So Lovely | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poco Del Sol | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Janelle Dreams | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peach of a Gal | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caught Dream’n | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | D J’s Favorite | 4.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Beryl’s Flight | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Shack | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Words of a Feather | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Commonwealth Derby Presented By The Virginia Equine Alliance And The Virginia Hbpa
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Final Copy | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Profiteer | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Voodoo Song | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bronson | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Dover Cliffs | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Just Howard | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master Plan | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Threeohtwocassie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Gimme Kimmy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Pompano | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Crazy Bernice | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anthem Singer | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Reward the Gypsy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pledge of Love | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Momma Doolittle | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Silk | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Catch | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mazzy Star | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.