September 30, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | August Lilly | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Honey | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Quinta Tata | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Starla | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Zoraya | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Asian Moonlady | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Taco Wayne’s Shot | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Little Queen | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Biondetti Rae | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Adios Ashley | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Look It Linda | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | He Wears the Crown | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Card Spun | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Florida Sire In Reality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tip Sheet | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highborn | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soutache | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maranatha | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | His Name Is Sue | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yeehaw | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | A B G Dani | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock and Rattle | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A B G Guerrero | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Morningstar | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jack Wabbit | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Champion | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guarichongo | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ed’s Rocket | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Delivered by Akiss | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Mr. Steele S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Galleon Mast | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Galton | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | J R ‘s Holiday | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Harbor | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Bachelor | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | My Point Exactly | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chiseled | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Orpheus (ARG) | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aequor | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Mover | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Casino Kid | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agujero | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C K Dexter Haven | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sensational Sam | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Power | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rough Note | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Armed Forces S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flying Liberty | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Renaisance Frolic | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whataclassyladdy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uncle Pepe | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Forever Taken | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dial One | 1.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Treasure | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bon Raison | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Uruguaian Princess | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rollin Rose | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | This Dudes a Lady | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hopeful Angel | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Bow No Move | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ola Yola | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jill’s Catch | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Rosie | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fend for Yourself | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | J. P. Calling | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Military Brat | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | United Song | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Starship Rocky | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gear Jammer | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Fair Prospect | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Zorro | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Great Skellig | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Forall the Marbles | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Regal Kitten | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Valoordo | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bridles Holiday | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Keep Me Grounded | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Little John W | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Ausable | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forest Gator | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | That Charlie | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Harasan | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Key the Storm | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Equity | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dardo | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Policy Portfolio | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dreamy Martini | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shot Jak | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brookside | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | G T’s Graemie | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Monroe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King’s Ghost | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inside Out | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Temple Fur | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Susie Bee | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maria and Beto | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Secret | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arthemisa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mizz Money | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bonita | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Ariel | 50.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Justa Jill | 50.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Her Zealous | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Razorback Lady | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wolf Eyes | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Figarella’s Queen | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vitaemi | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Destiny | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honor Indy | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Possible Dear | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jost Sayin | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tropical | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Our Dear Peggy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blonde Bomber | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Homemade Salsa | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Di Maria | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surprising Twist | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Rose | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Soldat House | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Denver | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Valid Interest | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gift of Glory | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anabella Queen | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Forty Kilos | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cosita Rica | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Mass | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starship Bonita | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dessert Honeys | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taylor’s Princess | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galileo’s Affair | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pantyhose | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unstablenthemornin | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Romance | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Astray | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Bridge | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Total Treasure | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oh What Ah Moment | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guidonia | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Gussie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor Causeway | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | May B Drama | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Faithful Sue | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Livin Splendor | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tajeliha | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Nicky’s Warrior | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blouberg Beach | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cape | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nick’s Rose | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.