Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 30, 2017

September 30, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 August Lilly 2.50 1.8 3-1
12 12 Bourbon Honey 10.00 3 6-1 Scr
6 5 Quinta Tata 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Starla 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 La Zoraya 12.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Asian Moonlady 8.00 6 11-1 Scr
2 2 Taco Wayne’s Shot 5.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
7 6 Little Queen 12.00 7.8 15-1
3 2 Miss Biondetti Rae 10.00 8.5 16-1
11 10 Adios Ashley 4.00 8.8 17-1
4 3 Look It Linda 10.00 9.5 18-1
5 4 He Wears the Crown 30.00 12 23-1
10 9 Card Spun 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Florida Sire In Reality S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Tip Sheet 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Highborn 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Soutache 0.60 2.5 5-1
6 6 Maranatha 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 His Name Is Sue 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Yeehaw 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 A B G Dani 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Rock and Rattle 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 A B G Guerrero 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Mr. Morningstar 3.00 4 8-1
9 9 Jack Wabbit 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 New Champion 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Guarichongo 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Ed’s Rocket 4.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Delivered by Akiss 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Mr. Steele S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Galleon Mast 1.00 1 2-1
5 4 Galton 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 J R ‘s Holiday 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Blue Harbor 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Diamond Bachelor 12.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
3 2 My Point Exactly 4.00 5 9-1
8 8 Chiseled 6.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
2 1 Orpheus (ARG) 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Aequor 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Cool Mover 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Casino Kid 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Agujero 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 C K Dexter Haven 1.20 4 8-1
1 1 Sensational Sam 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Empire Power 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Rough Note 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Armed Forces S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Flying Liberty 12.00 2 4-1 Scr
5 4 Renaisance Frolic 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Whataclassyladdy 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Uncle Pepe 15.00 5 9-1
8 7 Forever Taken 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Dial One 1.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Seattle Treasure 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Bon Raison 5.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Uruguaian Princess 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Rollin Rose 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 This Dudes a Lady 10.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Hopeful Angel 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Chief Bow No Move 8.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Ola Yola 3.50 5 9-1
4 4 Jill’s Catch 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Golden Rosie 6.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Fend for Yourself 30.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 J. P. Calling 30.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Military Brat 30.00 10 19-1
2 2 United Song 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Starship Rocky 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Gear Jammer 6.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
9 6 Fair Prospect 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Starship Zorro 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Great Skellig 8.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
11 11 Forall the Marbles 8.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
7 7 Regal Kitten 4.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
4 4 Valoordo 30.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Bridles Holiday 15.00 9.3 17-1
12 12 Keep Me Grounded 10.00 9.5 18-1 Scr
10 10 Little John W 8.00 9.8 18-1 Scr
3 3 Ausable 10.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Forest Gator 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 That Charlie 3.50 1.8 3-1
11 10 Harasan 6.00 4 8-1
6 5 Key the Storm 30.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Equity 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Dardo 8.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
4 3 Policy Portfolio 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Dreamy Martini 4.00 8 15-1
7 6 Shot Jak 12.00 8.3 16-1
5 4 Brookside 12.00 8.8 17-1
10 9 G T’s Graemie 50.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Monroe S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 King’s Ghost 6.00 2 4-1
10 10 Inside Out 4.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
7 5 Temple Fur 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Susie Bee 3.00 4 8-1
11 11 Maria and Beto 30.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
2 2 Imperial Secret 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Arthemisa 20.00 7 13-1 Scr
1 1 Mizz Money 5.00 7 13-1
9 7 Bonita 3.50 8.8 17-1
5 5 Princess Ariel 50.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
8 6 Justa Jill 50.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Her Zealous 15.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Razorback Lady 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Wolf Eyes 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Figarella’s Queen 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Vitaemi 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Morning Destiny 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Honor Indy 5.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Tiz Possible Dear 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Jost Sayin 4.00 8 15-1
9 9 Tropical 10.00 8.3 16-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Our Dear Peggy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Blonde Bomber 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Homemade Salsa 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Di Maria 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Surprising Twist 20.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
10 10 Queen Rose 12.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
8 8 Soldat House 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Denver 5.00 6.8 13-1
11 9 Valid Interest 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Gift of Glory 6.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Anabella Queen 10.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Forty Kilos 10.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
2 2 Cosita Rica 30.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Awesome Mass 3.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Starship Bonita 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Dessert Honeys 2.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Taylor’s Princess 20.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Galileo’s Affair 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Pantyhose 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Unstablenthemornin 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Regal Romance 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Go Astray 8.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Little Bridge 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Total Treasure 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Oh What Ah Moment 30.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Guidonia 3.50 5 9-1
5 5 Starship Gussie 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Honor Causeway 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 May B Drama 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Faithful Sue 2.50 7 13-1
12 12 Livin Splendor 10.00 7.3 14-1
13 13 Tajeliha 15.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
9 9 Nicky’s Warrior 4.50 9 17-1
2 2 Blouberg Beach 12.00 9.3 17-1
11 11 Cape 8.00 10 19-1
6 6 Nick’s Rose 20.00 12.3 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.