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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 30, 2017

September 30, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Holiday Magician 8.00 2 4-1
2 1 Revolving Storm 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 3 Chief Inca 10.00 3.8 7-1
1A 7 Miss Waterbug 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Forres Lily 2.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
3 2 Southern Christmas 3.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Leonia 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Midnight Rodeo 4.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Magnificentmindset 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Nonno 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Josey Wales 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Distorted Union 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Blyde River 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Midnight With Luti 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Muchacho Dude 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Tap the Pistol 6.00 7 13-1
9 8 Kinder 2.50 7 13-1
5 5 Beneficial Risk 15.00 7.3 14-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Chibbley 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 More to Adore 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Go Jamie Go 8.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
5 4 Racinginthestreet 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Goodnight Moon 12.00 5 9-1
7 6 Jokers Queen 10.00 6 11-1
8 7 Spanker 2.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Princess Mirren 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Dtha Governors Day H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 6 Fellowship 12.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Afleet Willy 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 All Out of Aces 8.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
5 4 Marengo Road 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Twocubanbrothersu 12.00 6 11-1
6 5 Langdarma 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Tale of Life (JPN) 6.00 7 13-1
7 7 Dr Blarney 2.50 7 13-1 Scr
3 3 Warrioroftheroses 12.00 7.3 14-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Ortiga (IRE) 3.00 1.8 3-1 Scr
7 5 My Tootsy 8.00 2 4-1
10 7 Bella Vincenza 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Shack Up 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Pamzine 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Shoyoya 12.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
2 1 Cincy Belle 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 3 Queen of the Party 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 6 Bete Noir 12.00 9.3 17-1
4 4 Anonymous 12.00 9.5 18-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – First State Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 3 Prince Lucky 2.00 1 2-1
7 5 Fenton’s Four 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 4 Jamaican Don 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Threes Over Deuces 8.00 4 8-1
2 1 Taxable Goods 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Whereshetoldmetogo 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Just Flashy 10.00 6 11-1 Scr
1 1 Gilgimesh 10.00 8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Speightshill 3.00 2 4-1
8 7 Ring Necked 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Max Crown 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Enough Is Enough 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Wendy Wend 6.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
6 5 Battle Midway 1.80 5.5 10-1
1 1 Hiram 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Takethattothebank 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – George Rosenberger Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Nawlins Kitty 15.00 3.3 6-1
13 9 Talkless Smilemore 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 5 Enchanteresse (IRE) 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Cayman Croc 15.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
8 6 Arraign 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Boreale 4.50 5.8 11-1
11 11 Analyze 15.00 6 11-1 Scr
9 9 Bishop’s Pond 3.50 7.8 15-1 Scr
12 8 Laur Net 15.00 7.8 15-1
3 2 Nickyrocksforpops 12.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Lift Up 6.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
10 7 Good Roll 15.00 11.8 22-1
4 3 Wowwhatabrat 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Small Wonder S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 4 Sweet Tweet 6.00 1.5 3-1
9 7 Obvious Two 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Monkey Mind 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Pikachu Princess 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Enchanted Star 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sally’s Wolf 8.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
4 4 Malandrina 10.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
10 10 High Sierra 20.00 8.8 17-1 Scr
12 12 Queen Nekia 10.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
11 8 Misdriven 20.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Buff’s in Love 15.00 10.8 20-1
7 5 All Good Times 10.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tax Free Shopping Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 8 Lucky in Malibu 4.00 2 4-1
6 4 Sharon Gunther 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Hailey’s Flip 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Fillupcohensapiker 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Blue Hen Madness 15.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
7 5 Moon Virginia 10.00 7 13-1
5 5 Diamond Dollar 15.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
10 10 Lakota 12.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
8 6 Camille Claudel 12.00 8.8 17-1
9 7 Sunshine Included 5.00 9 17-1
11 11 Mineralistic 12.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
4 3 Big Momma 15.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – New Castle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Dixie’s Last Laugh 3.00 1.3 2-1 Scr
5 4 Winplaceorshowono 4.00 3 6-1
6 5 Stolen Love 2.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Obvious One 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Final Prospect 8.00 5 9-1
4 3 Flying Alex 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Love Rules 8.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Delaware Park Arabian Juvenile Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 RB KINKIE BOOTS 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 RB HOT DATE 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 UPTOWN SANDY GIRL 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 CAPTAIN BUSH 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 UPTOWN FLYING FLYNN 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 BIG CORK 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 HIGHH SHINE 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 PRINCE WILLIAM AA 12.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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