September 29, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Scam |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Crazy Frank C |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Dream Saturday |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Royal Mile |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lost for Words |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Ranger in Paradise |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Kokomo Wildcat |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Faith N Hope |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pancake |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Nikki Bella |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
R Girls a Charmer |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Dude Fantasy |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lucky Switch |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Tormenta de Oro |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Miss Visconti |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Baby I’m Worth It |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Solfatara |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Dakota Eyes |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Loyal Heart |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Coquivacoa |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Arpinella |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Archer Road |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Robusto |
0.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Royalston |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Shiny Copper Penny |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Architectural |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Simmardstrike |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Mucho Prospect |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Sebas Ranger |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Peace Accord |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Aristteles |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Gran Fortress |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Winking At Thedude |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Graydar’s Resolve |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Madarnas |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Browns Gap |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sound Values |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Campaigner’s Gold |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Leverkusen |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Mad Patriot |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Burning Wild |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Salutation |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
10 |
6 |
Til the End |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Tranquil Warrior |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Thepresidentallion |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Mo Bourbon |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Illustrious Son |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Fantastic Kitten |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Midnightonbroadway |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Charlie the Greek |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Rodeo Romance |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Brave Enrique |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Vencedor |
4.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
One Fine Ride |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Curlin’s Image |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Imnaha |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Sound Defence |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Lady Coventry |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Thinkin Cowtown |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Enigmatica |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Kaiser’s d’Light |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Salsa Capuchino |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
R Hot Twenty’s |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Money Lushka |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Elk Grove |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Stuck With You |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Flash the Cash |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Candy Max |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Amber’s Soldier |
4.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Smiling Mason |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.