September 24, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tracking Stock | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alls Well | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Di | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Indian Scout | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wild Wigglin Jack | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bodhi Dog | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Famous Fact | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Lil’ Charlie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cautious Giant | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Son Wind | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harryhee | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time Will Tell | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Express Jet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thanks God | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bear’s Den S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kroy | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s the One | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zipping | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Key | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | General McGooby | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shiny Copper Penny | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Helen Virginia | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Juliet | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amaluna | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yankee Lass | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morena Mia | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zena Rules | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cotton Tooyah | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Soldat House | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Sara’s Day | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Fresh | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kathy’s Clown | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Tropical Runnings | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ciomara | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Harbin Ice | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jeanie Vee | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Turncoat | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lifes Reward | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Angel’s Sea | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Inmyfathersimage | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fletcher Is Golden | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sambrook Edge | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Napa Valley Rose | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Cold Blood | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cocaptain | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | Contormar | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant’s Passion | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Nenuco | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Wildcat Saint | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Eddie E | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | A B G Mostro | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Midnight Joker | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Son of Greatness | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Saman | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Lefty Comming | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Grand Venezuelan | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | American Tzar | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Diplomacy | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Majestic Heir | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Over Limit | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cookies Are Good | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cuban Cowboy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Mambocello | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | August Lilly | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Yavrig | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Hold That Kitten | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Pop’s Irish Rose | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Lexi’s Doll | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Dointhewatusi | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quinta Tata | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Taco Wayne’s Shot | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starla | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Little Queen | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 6 | Su Su’s Kitten | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Miss Maserati | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Biondetti Rae | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Ashley | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Seven Lilies | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | P K’s Fast Fact | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crown to the Gold | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nonno Nino | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | He’s a Leader | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | McManaman | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome High | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soldat’s Storm | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dazzling Prose | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K K’s Revolver | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Lover | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | King Nephrite | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.