Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 23, 2017

September 23, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Hit the Seam 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Blackhawk Beauty 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Uh Oh Baby 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Campaigner 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Buck Duane 4.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Flash Henry 2.50 2 4-1
6 5 Tibbens Secret 15.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Cal Cal Li Gowchis 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Gummy 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Salient 2.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
2 2 Sir Porfirio 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Bucky Goldstein 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Colonial Power 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 The Union Forever 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Washington Road 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Spend It 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bow and Arrow 1.80 4.8 9-1
4 4 Pipedreams 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Traveling Vista 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Golden Atlantic 2.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Luckarack 1.80 1.8 3-1
6 6 Four Gaels 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Changing Karma 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Badasmywifeletsmeb 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Madelyn’s Wild Max 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Bound for Heaven 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Lucky With You 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Hard Arch 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Harrovian 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Majestic Journey 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Fall Harvest 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Second Gear 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Colonel Gotham 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Alley Boss 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Sidepocket Champ 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Aglimpseofgabby 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pray Hard 2.00 4 8-1
5 5 Norman Jorgenson 20.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
2 2 Nagys Piggy Bank 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Mr. Araiza 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Tap On a Star 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Queen Bee to You 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Majestic Diva 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bridal Arch 2.00 4 8-1
3 3 Demigoddess 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Carrie 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Royal Astronomer 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Barretts Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Run Away 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Crazy Uncle Rick 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Smokem 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Thegloryisallmine 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 Here Is Happy 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Time for Cioppino 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Southern Warlord 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Sausalito Sunset 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Magical Lucy 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Miss Fireball 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Slightly 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Family Rules 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 My Project Girl 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Forthe Lovof Patty 3.00 6 11-1
7 7 Ghost Lady 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 E Z Miss 20.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.