September 23, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Freemark |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Love You Much |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Enasoit |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Icelake |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Don’t Poke the Cat |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Run From the Nun |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Totaled the Benz |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Trustifarian |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Squashville Road |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Saint Ignatius |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Stilburnin |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mischievous Dan |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Segovia |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ice Tea |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bob’s My Uncle |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Chocomount |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
English Tudor |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Praise the Moon |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Look Within |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Optical Illusion |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Valley Cal |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Big Ralph |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Bats Cleanup |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Gaelic Chieftain |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Collateral Damage |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
New Horizon |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Justifiable Junior |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Black Prong |
6.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Somedreamscometrue |
10.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
The Intern |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Barin |
15.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Speedy Slew |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fantasize |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Mist On the Moskva |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Chilly Magician |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Skippin to Victory |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Justcallme K L |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Chasintheblues |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Scrapple |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sixbits |
6.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
C Em Smile |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Cades Cove Loop |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tiraboschi |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
El Corazon |
1.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Yes Means No |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tattered |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hermans Gold |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Swingstage |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Dr. Cerrato |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Richie’s Lady |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Grand Folly |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
La Murette |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Majestic Trick |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Hashtag Selfie |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tiyo |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Royal Cashmere |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Pardontori’sfrench |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
13 |
11 |
El Vedado |
5.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Line of Music |
8.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Voices Only |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Star Flare |
4.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Janealee |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Sensational Notion |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
McPherson |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Trading Cash |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
Utter Magic |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Bilko |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
2 |
Me Darlin Chessie |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Tymochtee Creek |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1A |
4 |
Me Darlin Kara |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Unclenedwhodrank |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Tanya’s Gem |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Grogger |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Southern Peach |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Monavista Crossing |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Maluku |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Alexandra Rossi |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
My Sistersledge |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
No Love Lost |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Controversy |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ms Eileen |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
10 |
Circle R |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
7 |
Bo Go |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Patriotic Quest |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Xtra Wisemann |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1A |
6 |
Brahms Breeze |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Freedom Storm |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
9 |
Petion Night |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
He’s Out of Queens |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
Kaz Country |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gallo de Oro |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
I Stand Alone |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
9 |
Puturseatbelton |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Dr Bolt |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Billy the Bull |
1.60 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Supersecret |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Bluegrass Ball |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1A |
11 |
Came Back |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Amblin Man |
4.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Minor Legend |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Wildcatpleasures |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Barley Twist |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
14 |
12 |
Saratoga Jack |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Southside Warrior |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Blaze’n Prospector |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
The Tortoise |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tusk |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bombs Away |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Unbridled Lion |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Greek Prince |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
To Dare |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Flash McCaul |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Forever in Love |
4.50 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Dream Breaker |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Tizzarunner |
8.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Forest Rim |
12.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
She Is Special |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
5 |
Scarlett’s Ransom |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Antietam Creek |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Kinahora |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Da’blues Dancer |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
High Rewards |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Lead Us to the Bar |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Chips Icluded |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Bucklebury |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Kittycat Rodeo |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.