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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 23, 2017

September 23, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Freemark 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Love You Much 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Enasoit 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Icelake 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Don’t Poke the Cat 4.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Run From the Nun 5.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Totaled the Benz 3.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Trustifarian 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Squashville Road 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Saint Ignatius 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Stilburnin 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mischievous Dan 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Segovia 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Ice Tea 1.80 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bob’s My Uncle 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Chocomount 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 English Tudor 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Praise the Moon 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Look Within 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Optical Illusion 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Valley Cal 30.00 7.8 15-1
16 16 Big Ralph 12.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
7 7 Bats Cleanup 6.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Gaelic Chieftain 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Collateral Damage 20.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 New Horizon 15.00 10 19-1
14 14 Justifiable Junior 15.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
9 9 Black Prong 6.00 10.5 20-1
11 11 Somedreamscometrue 10.00 11.8 22-1
15 15 The Intern 20.00 12.3 23-1 Scr
13 13 Barin 15.00 13 25-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Speedy Slew 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Fantasize 10.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Mist On the Moskva 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Chilly Magician 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Skippin to Victory 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Justcallme K L 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Chasintheblues 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Scrapple 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Sixbits 6.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 C Em Smile 20.00 9 17-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Cades Cove Loop 10.00 2 4-1
6 6 Tiraboschi 4.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
4 4 El Corazon 1.40 2.5 5-1
5 5 Yes Means No 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Tattered 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Hermans Gold 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Swingstage 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 6 Dr. Cerrato 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Richie’s Lady 6.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
5 4 Grand Folly 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 La Murette 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Majestic Trick 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 9 Hashtag Selfie 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Tiyo 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Royal Cashmere 10.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
8 6 Pardontori’sfrench 12.00 7.8 15-1
13 11 El Vedado 5.00 9.8 18-1
10 8 Line of Music 8.00 9.8 18-1
12 10 Voices Only 20.00 10 19-1
6 5 Star Flare 4.00 10 19-1
9 7 Janealee 20.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Sensational Notion 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 McPherson 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 2 Trading Cash 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 8 Utter Magic 3.50 3.8 7-1 Scr
8 7 Bilko 8.00 5 9-1
1 2 Me Darlin Chessie 12.00 6 11-1 Scr
4 3 Tymochtee Creek 15.00 6.5 12-1
1A 4 Me Darlin Kara 12.00 7 13-1
2 1 Unclenedwhodrank 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Tanya’s Gem 4.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Grogger 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Southern Peach 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Monavista Crossing 2.00 4 8-1
4 4 Maluku 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Alexandra Rossi 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 My Sistersledge 6.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 No Love Lost 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Controversy 12.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Ms Eileen 30.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 10 Circle R 1.80 1 2-1
6 7 Bo Go 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Patriotic Quest 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Xtra Wisemann 8.00 4.8 9-1
1A 6 Brahms Breeze 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Freedom Storm 6.00 5 9-1
8 9 Petion Night 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 He’s Out of Queens 3.50 6.8 13-1
7 8 Kaz Country 30.00 9.3 17-1
5 5 Gallo de Oro 30.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 I Stand Alone 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 9 Puturseatbelton 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Dr Bolt 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Billy the Bull 1.60 4.8 9-1
5 4 Supersecret 15.00 5 9-1
9 8 Bluegrass Ball 8.00 5.3 10-1
1A 11 Came Back 5.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
8 7 Amblin Man 4.50 7.3 14-1
6 5 Minor Legend 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 3 Wildcatpleasures 10.00 10 19-1
2 1 Barley Twist 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
14 12 Saratoga Jack 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Southside Warrior 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Blaze’n Prospector 4.50 3.3 6-1 Scr
12 11 The Tortoise 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Tusk 4.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Bombs Away 3.00 7 13-1
11 10 Unbridled Lion 20.00 7.3 14-1
13 13 Greek Prince 20.00 7.6 14-1 Scr
3 3 To Dare 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 Flash McCaul 20.00 9 17-1
9 8 Forever in Love 4.50 9.8 18-1
6 5 Dream Breaker 15.00 9.8 18-1
10 9 Tizzarunner 8.00 9.8 18-1
8 7 Forest Rim 12.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 She Is Special 3.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
8 5 Scarlett’s Ransom 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Antietam Creek 15.00 2.8 5-1
9 6 Kinahora 2.50 4 8-1
3 2 Da’blues Dancer 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 High Rewards 3.50 5.3 10-1
10 7 Lead Us to the Bar 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Chips Icluded 12.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
1 1 Bucklebury 20.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Kittycat Rodeo 20.00 9.8 18-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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