September 21, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Street Biz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barb n’ Don | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tam | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saturday’s Song | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Blarney | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Konza Khrome | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Prince Cheval | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bull Market Richie | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cruachan | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Limeshare | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Azeg | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | West Ghost | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peteizum | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jimmy D | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Baby Boy | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Fred | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warleggan | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cartersville | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Next Monday | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I’m Calling Dibs | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hawk’s Image | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canette | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pale Hose | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Pretty Boy | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Edging | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Electrifying | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prize Native | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saturdayatbernies | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Exactness | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mean Intentions | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Account | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Out of the Woods | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gritty Greeley | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do Not Enter | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monday Pirate | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iker | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Great Friend | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Boundaries | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alazan Shiner | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Split Tens | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Memory Bank | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gary Luke | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Richiesinthehouse | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maxus | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Strikes | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Ike | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cordele | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lookforasmile | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Betruetoyourschool | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Heir Ball | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Queenoftheroad | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sullyvin’s G G | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Wildwood | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Gold | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 6 | Posh Ruler | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Henry’s Song | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Wind Cheater | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hourly | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Toll Guard | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Three Pillars | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yenisey | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heza Tinker | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rich Tradition | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Bruce | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovedtalkintoeddi | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willie’s Mon | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trumpified | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Classic | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Consequential | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New York Boy | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacred Promise | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sea of Anarchy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Spice | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Poncho | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Results | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Find Silver | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Hide the Evidence | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heaven’s Buzz | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Greyt Oak | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Invictor | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outside In | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Bull E Winkle | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Inkspired | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Mr. Stein | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Pal Al | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Savie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Mister Maestro | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sky Wonder | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Golden Rules | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | M J Seeker | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mister McGehee | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Go Beeja | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Tail Gunner Carl | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.