September 17, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Where’s the D | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be a Lady | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marynetta | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold At Night | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Treasure | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chief Tiger | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T’s Place | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Atlantic | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s Bubba | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | This Time I Win | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grass Runner | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Fellina | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solar Corona | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Miss Derby | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dressed in Prada | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Snow Belle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angel in Flight | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Cali Rocks | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King Budrick | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Private Prospect | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gunslinger | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Tisdale | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Tizzy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ucanthankmelater | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Patience Lady | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Countess | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knowitallhousewife | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Movin On | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sapodilla | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luckiest | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flowersinmyheart | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Acclaimed Cat | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lirica Heat (ARG) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Torre Italiana | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oleanderpolarbear | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheese | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aloha Ke Akua | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Darling | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thames Valley | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lob City | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheswildnfree | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swissarella | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Octofy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trinitys Turn | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Opportunist | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocket Fuel | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin Rudy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hitters Park | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Party Factor | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love My Bud | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mithqaal | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Taste | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gosofar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cayate | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Desert Law | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bob’s Bad Boy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catfish Hunter | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hes Knot Unusual | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardcore Troubador | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cosmotivo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Doo Run Run | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eighty and Sunny | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.