September 17, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Negrito | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Grande Shores | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Clear the Runway | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | North Ocean | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | American Progress | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ruth Less Blue | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blow the Whistle | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Master Jordan | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Minor Legend | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Magician | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bourbon Commander | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yorky | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s One Wild Dude | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tambourin | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Leroy Brown | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exclusive Lake | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fletched | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Dan | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Bold Again | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Max | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Pic | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | My Chesa Charm | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conjecture | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cyndara | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Sheba | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Prettyasnewmoney | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crude | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party Spot | 3.50 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hot Friesia | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Munificent | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Ink | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Mabel | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Rosie McGuire | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goldwood | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Radiant Element | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Suburb | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chibbley | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mercurial Miss | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sympathetic | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More to Adore | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Headed Woman | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tilaka | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Celebrating | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Princess Mirren | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Just So Story | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Well Blessed | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Andrasta | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep Your Distance | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Overdramatic | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nairet | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tenggara | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Follow the Petals | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Believe in Angels | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Untaken | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mathildestrevenue | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chef Karen | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fed Up Fired Up | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Expect a Kitten | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fenton’s Four | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orient Point | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Free to Trump | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silver Mining | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blame the Kids | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pferd Soldat | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pro Riot | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Poplar Avenue | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Loves Last Dash | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jag | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Parade of Freedom | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flat Out Mine | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Northern Eclipse | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Most Beautiful (GB) | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Lodge | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sylphide | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Do What I Say | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maggiesfreuddnslip | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Stunning | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bioterp | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Deceit | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Top Hat City | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Somekindofmagician | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Best Yes | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Axtell | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Dundalk | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shan Dian Kia | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Iredell | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miners Quest | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tempt Me Twice | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runninginthevale | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Cort’n Asong | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Kidron | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Motown Rhythm | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Heat | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Norco | 12.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Markakis | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Theodosia | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | To Be Honest | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Challenge | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stella B. | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greasedlightning | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scary Not Scared | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vindictive Ways | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Delta House | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Child’s Play | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kid Jeter | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tennessee Wildcat | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eucalyptus | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | King Koa | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wannabeaplayer | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Pik Em | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly E Dubai | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bombonero | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cute as a Button | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Howyaformoney | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aluminum Striker | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | M C Squared | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Make My Saturday | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Where’s Dominic | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Thor | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Great Provider | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Final Forum | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gimmeonemore | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Frank | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Left Foot Slewie | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | What the Chub | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Adversary | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Knock Raid | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.