September 16, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Noble Road | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broad Lover | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ronnie Roam | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Rover | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Atascaderan | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Castaway | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Grillo | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Steve Came Thru | 3.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | My Aunt Lilly | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Hello Moon | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Little Alana | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Wendy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Buzz | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Philjangle | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Georgia Bonnet | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Miss | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Java Chip | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sir Sidney | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Instructor Kunu | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conscience | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | McKenzies Way | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Estrickator | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard to Name | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Student Union | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Je Ne Sais Pas | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Winter’s Gift | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Map Room | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salt Mine | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crown Thy Good | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Soul Music | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Harv Won’t Tap | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Appa | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Warm Springs | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Country Money | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Japonski | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Summer Type | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | West Shore Drive | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Bon Heir | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Authoritative | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zipper’s Hero | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Bayshore Drive | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wildcat Belle | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Just Listen | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vanidosa | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Boa Sorte | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Assail | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Natural Warrior | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Spender | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Amelia’s Wild Ride | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Simon Bar Sinister | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Schoolofhardrocks | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bust Another | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roxbury N Overton | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spartianos | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Expected Ruler | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Black Jet | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Swell | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Your Pace Or Mine | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amblin Man | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Long May You Run | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hickory Hill | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | White Bluff | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Because He Can | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cozy Lover | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Morning Guys | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yeah Rocky | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Hall Of Fame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | You Know Too | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Tazkeya | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Charged | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynatail | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Notapradaprice | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beautiful Lady | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bree’s Got Heart | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ladies’ Privilege | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bertranda | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zenbennie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Kraken Glacken | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | General Bellamy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Instant Replay | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Recapitulation | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Promise Illgetyou | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Sensibility | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Forest Friends | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Renwick | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Only You | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Urban Burn | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.