September 16, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Hi Heat Boy | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu d’Oro | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Adventurous | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoppitty | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Supreme Giant | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Berraco | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First to the Wire | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Golden One | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rafter One | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wheresthemoneyjack | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mostly Cloudy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Porfirio | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Warrior Vixen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Of Note | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eye of the River | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Carmela | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hope She Will | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On a Toot | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jill Madden | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coronado Cool | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zanab | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fashion Fair | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reinahermosa | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Not So Easy | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chatty | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angels N Devildogs | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fantastic Girl | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Rancor | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Tropez | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer’s Indy | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Diva | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Jack | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pat the Bear | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hawk’s Eyes (BRZ) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Never | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hackleton | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Charmant | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swiss Cheese | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proudtobesicilian | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Go On Mary | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Time for Ebby | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Avicii | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Remembering | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Late ‘n Left | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Resilient Humor | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Alpenhorn | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Haveiture Way | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Obey | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Time | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Cash Prize | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mother of Dragons | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Barretts Debutante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ismelucky | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exuberance | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Helen’s Tiger | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Expendy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Claw | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unchanged | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shaken Memories | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Funny Bean | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fiftyeight Special | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Luckarack | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rough Passage | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Jolie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overcomer | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casuality | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Cotton | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swiss Minister | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Templar | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Love | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.