September 16, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Katie’s Caddie | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Swisher | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Color Me Sexy | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mettemarlamelva | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gloria Patri | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Mama | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friesan Flyer | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Prancer | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | North Eight Street | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aiden’s Rag Doll | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Intrepid Forest | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not Tonight Berta | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Golden Rose | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faire Mi | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Perfect Deal | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Majorie Mugs | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Janealee | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Selima S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Light Up the Town | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mel’s Gone Wild | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proportionality | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rose to Fame | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Wise Gal | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madame X. | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eighty Six Mets | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artattack | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dad’s City Girl | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Jumping Michelle | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enchanted Star | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pettit Cousins | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Friesing Waters | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simonela | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Access | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Steamy Hot | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sipping Champagne | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bay of Cats | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fortheloveofpete | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Laurel Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Blu Moon Ace | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Snowday (FR) | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amelia’s Wild Ride | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spring to the Sky | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Dan | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Class and Cash | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joseph | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Burner | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Full Salute | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Mover (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – All Along S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Martini Glass | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Light Up Our World (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | On Leave | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Juno (BRZ) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gianna’s Dream | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Smile | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pricedtoperfection | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paige | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Indian Paint | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | True Egyptian | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Everything Lovely | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sweet On Smokey | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Paquita Coqueta (CHI) | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Rocky Policy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Ella | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Carolina Shag | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Cali Thirty Seven | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Catching Fireflies | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Exaggerated | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Euroboss | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Ginger N Rye | 1.60 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 9 | Always Thinking | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dare to Be | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fire Key | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sycee | 30.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Laurel Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Talk Show Man | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Albans Boy | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Manitoulin | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Infinite Wisdom | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Holiday Star | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Highly Prized (GB) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Bay | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Canessar (FR) | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Renown (GB) | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pizmo Time | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Motivational | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Whitmore | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Favorite Tale | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Chublicious | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Blu Moon Ace | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Jordan | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Awesome Banner | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Struth | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Laurel Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Battle Station | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Shane’s Jewel | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stroll Smokin | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Dunhill | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheese On | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Go Willy Go | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dial One | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Blue Ridge Scout | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trusting Friend | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nauti Buoy | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Therapist | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Mack the Knife | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Martywiththeparty | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Self Start | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Victory Chimes | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More Talk | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lewisfield | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Lion | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swing Step | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Super Buddy | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Saturday’s Rein | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Prettyasnewmoney | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Perfect Party Girl | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Lassie | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Whenallelsefails | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crags | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love My Sisters | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Alyssa and a Lisa | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Vermouth | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 13 | Go Danica | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D. K.’s Valentine | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Returntasenda | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonshine Lullaby | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wiggle Room | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Steve Said Don’t | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Out of Juice | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.