September 15, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tiki Bar Logic | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hot Blooded Girl | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Danuska’s My Girl | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrowsphere | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Ib Prospecting | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Boldest Vow | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bless the Cause | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Copper Cowgirl | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kleptocracy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Myrcella | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Swiss Chalet | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Gambler | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swiss Skimmer | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Veronica Bay | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor Maker | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Optimistic Outcome | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m No Patsy | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | L. A. Tower | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sooner Boomer | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Christaki | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bryan Habana (ARG) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Cowboy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zap Again | 0.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Downside Up | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King of Leon (ARG) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joshuas Glory | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trojan the Wildcat | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jabber Now | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meet and Greet | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veiled Heat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warm It Up | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Hand | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coalinga Hills | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | That’s a Lady | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosie My Rosie | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Online Request | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sandy’s Surprise | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What a Ten | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | La Force (GER) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shakti | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Boom Boom | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Dame | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backintheacademy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kennedie Sky | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joyable | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gift of a Star | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet No More | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.