Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 15, 2017

September 15, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Petal Path 3.50 1.3 2-1 Scr
2 2 Indian Oaks 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Flirtin Fool 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Greeleys Angel 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Doda Doodleallday 4.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Greeleys Delight 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Spanish Coyote 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 He’s a Kingfish 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Garrison K 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Cartersville 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Raisedonrocknroll 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Flight Mission 5.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Spirit Grabber 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Bootleggin 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Congrats Given 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Vinnardini 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Lee’s Luck 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Ohiyo 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Battle N Away 5.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 3 Divorce 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 1 Prado Jett 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 4 Valiant Lady 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 5 Superstar Diva 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Heavens Whisper 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Muskrat Love 20.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
1 1 Endlessopportunity 20.00 4.9 9-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Fist Full 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Fort Aiken 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 O No Not U Again 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Francois 2.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Limestone 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Poker Player 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Shotenough to Pop 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 La Pinata 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Alwaysmypleasure 30.00 8.1 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Richiesgotswagger 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Harlanday 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Tsunami 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Danny B 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Savemethelastdance 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Stormin El Prado 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Bulldog of Bergen 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Midnight Lewis 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Soulja Slim 1.40 1.9 4-1
1 1 Divine Holiday 2.50 2.9 5-1 Scr
7 6 Richie Rocks 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Hawk Is Ready 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Hint to Win 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Dr. Move 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Chas Tom 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Rooster Bay 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Bartbaalu 30.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Bubuzela 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Tiz Kismet 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Play the Break 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Shezahotmama 3.00 3.7 7-1 Scr
3 3 Back At the Ranch 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Nook 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Talent and Grace 12.00 6.1 12-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Drip Brew 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stormy Louise 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Prairie Night 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Polar Air 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Tizamint 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 B N a Native Girl 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Devout Type 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Mirabelle Magic 10.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Templesis 20.00 9.1 17-1 Scr
1 1 Cheese a Dolly 15.00 9.3 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.