September 14, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tribella | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Lucy | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warren’s Purrfect | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forthe Lovof Patty | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Suzzet | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Lady | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ramona Lover | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Californiasummer | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candee Topper | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Seaquet | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessings | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pretty Expensive | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atchafalaya | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tuscany Beauty | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Galy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Cloud | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Lady | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anamontana | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Bookin | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mining Diamonds | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Bee to You | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Song of Ekati | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Demigoddess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carrie | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Powder | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Chris and Dave | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’malreadythere | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | El Super | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ground Rules | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blanket of Ice | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Muchos Besos | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ps Bettin On You | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Papa de Gatto | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Leap | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Boompa | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bargaining | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bad Jon | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Who’s Hot | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cat From Iraq | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Plate Side | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Family Code | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Odin | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Getoffmyback | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rim Ditch | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I B Mike | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiznobodiesfool | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Ray | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Send a Buck | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Southern Warlord | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cause for Pardon | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Gary | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Downhill Run | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Jeanne Run | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Titan | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lipster | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Agressivebrawler | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.