Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 14, 2017

September 14, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Silver Lode 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Flashy Ruthie 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Fionetta 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Hold Me Tight 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Hope N Wishes 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Away She Glows 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Kara’s Angel 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Chantses 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Wayaway 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Atlantic Blue 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Phyllis’s Flag 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Jete Ete 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Launch Away 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 In Focus 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Shadow Valley 2.00 1 2-1
8 6 Refashion 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Commercial Appeal 10.00 3 6-1 Scr
1 1 Baltic Star 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Descarado 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Time for Parading 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 4 Let’s Skip Fiji 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Miss Livingston 30.00 7.6 14-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Diastole 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 My Domina 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Steel Strike 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Glamala 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Teach Me Tonight 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Gwendalyn Sue 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Americanperfection 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Tiger Eyes 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Queenoftheroad 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Lady Dozer 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 J Jett 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Appollos Baby Girl 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Etoile d’Allie 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Turned Back Twice 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Looktheotherway 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 St. Louis City 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Mission Storm 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Short and Sassy 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Sing One Song 1.60 4 8-1
3 3 R U Forreal 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Chica Bonita 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Hide and Street 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Meetmeforasmoke 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Three Cat Rules 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Troublesome 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Allaire 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Warretta 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Brittney On Blades 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Lu Sea 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 My Darling Sofia 6.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Holy Plan 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Sullyvin’s G G 1.20 2.7 5-1
1 1 Star of the Market 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lemon Grove 5.00 4 8-1 Scr
5 4 Overdriven Cat 10.00 5 9-1
3 2 Sweet Abigail 20.00 5 9-1
8 7 Taste of Raj 12.00 6 11-1
7 6 Discreet Charm 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Mountain Momma 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Karenina 30.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Lucky No Robbery 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Button Mushroom 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Merri Mesa 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Cubs Win 6.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 Paulette 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Satiate 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Renewed Energy 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Real de Jalpa 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Julie Be Quick 8.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Aviating 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.