September 9, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Very Thankful | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Herunbridledpower | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smil’n From Above | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blooming Hannah | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summers Dignity | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheese | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Clever as Ever | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreetly Leah | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blissful Rose | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Treasure | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fellina | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valedictoriette | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Moni | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – E.b. Johnston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gold Rush Dancer | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky J Lane | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soi Phet | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He Will | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Huerfano | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Start a Runnin | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Rose | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap On a Star | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Countess | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sonnet’s Joy | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Molinita | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spender | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Pretty Hansen | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Que Chistoso | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sense of Glory | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Picture Tube | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghost of War | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Eyes | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fandarel Dancer | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trumper | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Choo Choo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whoodat | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Ascent | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doheny Beach | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Fast | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gryffindor | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aikau | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nagys Piggy Bank | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | St. Reno | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johns Journey | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Just Bob | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Pass | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brave Julian | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Beverly J. Lewis S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Faypien | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Princess Karen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chalon | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Laila | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Auntjenn | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Delitefull Lady | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Journey | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nova | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hydrostatic | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Charmalot | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Sleepy Prince | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dramatic Ride | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rodeler | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fight On Forever | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fabrication | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.