September 9, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | In Arrears | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Robey’s Boy | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T Sizzle | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Love Machine | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scrapple | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chilly Magician | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Matthew | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Secret | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Spot On Fark | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Standard | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hurricane Harold | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Distorted Windfall | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Le Chic | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Slim | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquistodor Fuego | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Major Promise | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | I Stand Alone | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Political Farce | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flyingtobechilders | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Mr. Stream | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Here’s Johnny | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Starship Thor | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Oklahoma Crude | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Against the Win | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Supersecret | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Williamsburg | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Behzad’s Pride | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Great Harbour Cay | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tequesta Storm | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dreaming of Frank | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Herecomescaddie | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Neidermeyer | 30.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gowith Theterrain | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Attire | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Small | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Triad | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vicious | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boot Hill | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caneel Bay | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paratycachaca | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crossing the Blues | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sir Mischief | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free to Trump | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Cry | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Punch Your Brother | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tattooed | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brahms Romp | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Love Doctor | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sherlock’s Hope | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jovis | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Oyster Soup | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Piercinator | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Papacho | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Great Captain | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Margarita Sunrise | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slick Man | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Speedy Slew | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Magician’s Bags | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Geebop | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Regent | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s a Pussy Cat | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Let Him Shine | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Key Mono | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Dusty | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barcraft | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lights On | 20.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bestkindoftrouble | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Counseling | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Birdsnest Party | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cobh | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sue Me | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glam Slam | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New World | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hopkins Choice | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ticker Tape Parade | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Director (IRE) | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Offshore Trip | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Stephen’s Answer | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | On the Wings Of | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Intern | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Break the Mold | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ebullience | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Games | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alluring Silver | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indy Wars | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barin | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Ralph | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justifiable Junior | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Awesome Adrian | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Challedon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Afleet Willy | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockinn On Bye | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Furyofthenorsemen | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | It’s the Journey | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Red Dragon Tattoo | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anytime Anyplace | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Final Prospect | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 10 | Enough Is Enough | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tale of Mist | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Speed Gracer | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Dothat Dance | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | How’s Your Sugar | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bealestreet Dancer | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | All Alone | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Maryland Pride | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Woodrow | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Tennessee Wildcat | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Good Reasoning | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | No Bull Addiction | 15.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Jump Ship | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 16 | 11 | Chateau de Vizille | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Storm Net | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Bowsprit | 20.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Shine Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 8 | Summer Reading | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Elusive Joni | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | True Romance | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Line of Best Fit | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Sky | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 7 | Super Sharp | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Momameamaria | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Summer House | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boheme de Lavi | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 5 | Lake Ponchatrain | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky in Malibu | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 6 | Bombshell | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In the Navy Now | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Saint Mamie | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Street Miz | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Cracking Good Pins | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Seeing’n’believing | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Cara’s Nay Nay | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | E Lizzy | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Venezuelan Beauty | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peace Prize (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flight Pattern | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shifra Magician | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Princess | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.