Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 9, 2017

September 9, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Royals Init for Love 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Haydens Ransom 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Austins Deal 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Chico Is in Love 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Steel Together 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Lb Cutie Cash 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Karat Da Bigtime 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – City S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 1 Heza Louisiana Dash 1.20 1 2-1
5 4 Jes a Fast Dasher 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Bankin On Bux 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Zooboo 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Icanonlyemagine 10.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
3 2 Heza Bell Perry 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Ldn Jessasaltydog 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Lincolns Oak Tree 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Shezafamousmoon 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Jls Mighty Reb Mr 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Ladies Can Dash 2.00 4 8-1
5 5 Eyewantbux 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Crown Sipper 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Off With His Hat 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Shinin Audrey 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Bt Rockin 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Cartels Grace 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Tee Brenda 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Tdz Queenhasgonebye 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Gifted Game 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Hiclass Moment 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Dibs 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Jp Fly 6.00 7 13-1
8 8 Kbr Ground Pounder 12.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Already Platinum 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Im La Leaving 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Rl Coronas Tee 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Rootnandtootn 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bjs Thunderstruck 4.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Private Cafe 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Zoomin Bailey Girl 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Tf Special Runaway 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Strawberry Milk 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Abby Ice 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Lake View Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Magic Black Jack 2.50 1 2-1
4 3 Scoopies Leaving You 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Bjs Magic Wings 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Sweet Bru 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Royal Aztec 3.50 5.1 10-1
10 9 Punctuality 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Swinginstar 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Jess Toastem 3.50 1.4 3-1
10 9 Fastdashing Lassie 4.50 4 8-1
7 6 Cuervo for Mygirls 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bababababababad 4.00 5 9-1
9 8 Iknowwhattodo 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Dun Gone Gold 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Bt Runaway 12.00 6.1 12-1 Scr
3 3 Grafick 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Your Cash Piloto 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Runaway Easy Sir 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – French Quarter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 8 Jls Ms Politicaljess 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Shez the Bomb 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Tdz Fast Dasher 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Pyc First Prize Mia 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Rbd Jessaswingin 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Runaway Balance 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Rcv Sheza Classydash 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 E Catching Fire 6.00 6.9 13-1 Scr
10 9 Punctuality 6.00 7.1 14-1
2 2 Peyton Sawyer 8.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Lqhba Sale Invitiational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Heza Jess Cuervo 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Eye Am Sizzlin 3.50 2.7 5-1 Scr
6 5 Private First Prize 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Jezz Chick 4.50 4.6 9-1
7 6 Triple Vodka Adios 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Tf Dashin Ms Perry 1.80 6.4 12-1
1 1 Eyesa Game 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 Rf Shez Leaving You 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 All Blinged Up 6.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Fpj Blazen Fast Ryon 15.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Lqhba Sale Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Jrs Natural Runaway 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Second Down Leaving 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Shez Dead Serious 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Jrs Taylors Runnaway 8.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Tf El Whiskey 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Jess Political 8.00 5 9-1 Scr
4 4 Yumyumcomegetyousome 4.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Fabulously Black 8.00 8 15-1
9 8 Stormy T 10.00 9.4 18-1
8 7 Eye Wanna Go Fast 12.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Hes Money 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Non Stop Patriot 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Dlj Royal Flow 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 All Wild Women Will 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Ojos de Angel 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Rbdirtywhiteboy 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Colossal Elegance 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Struttintofame 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Hard Rockin Bux 12.00 7.1 14-1
10 10 Swingin Gator 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Dashing Red Lexus 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Tf Dashin Ms Perry 1.80 3.1 6-1
6 6 Mister Nolen 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Izit Real 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Tf Dashin and Flyin 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Jet Black Rugaru 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Brrrrr 4.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Lucky Kind of Game 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Sea Horse Perry 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Pattishotthesheriff 30.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.