September 9, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Side Pocket | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Firespike | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | He’s Dann Good | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gold Hawk | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Montana Kid | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arch Rivalry | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tiz Samurai | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poker Player | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Ferlin Husky | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bull E Winkle | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Commish | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Stein | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Under the Table | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greenhorn | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Sock Mauk | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Dart | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Mischief | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paddy Not Patty | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strict Observance | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Estragon | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High On Sugar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Tiz One | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Recognition | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | World Peace | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Marsh | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vilaro | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wind Chill Factor | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Mo Money | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | O No Not U Again | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Scat Blue | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Summer Disco | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Golden Gift | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Show’em Pop | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Walk Tiz Way | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Charlie’s Affair | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Touch | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sun Brown | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Avers Wexler Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Erindelle | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Moms Choice | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mo Kelly | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy’s Boo | 1.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Bonita Cat | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mundy Road | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Angel | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Skyluck | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlinup | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Arlington-washington Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Barry Lee | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soul of Discretion | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | East Rand | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kate’s Golden Dude | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | P R Radio Star | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captivating Moon | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | The X | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Take Charge Dude | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ghaaleb’s Winner | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Thomas | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Arlington-washington Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Red Dread | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ardor | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Saucy At Midnight | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Richie’slilwildcat | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Her Wild Lifestyle | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Espressa | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Bet She Wins | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Southampton Way | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Presage | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Fabriana | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Cowgirl Callie | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Caramel Cream | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lemon Drop Twist | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Romantic Attack | 30.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Speed Devil | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Turbo Shaft | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Strollin the Bayou | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hide the Honey | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pinot | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Nonikas Thunder | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Monique | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Swifty Cause | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Taber | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Nora | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Drama Run | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kingsbury Dream | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alsinaafy (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Consequential | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kit Check | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Spice | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Gary Luke | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cheers to Us | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Find Silver | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Guilty Streak | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Guard Your Grill | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outside In | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greyt Oak | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.