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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, September 5, 2017

September 5, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Extrasexymazzerati 1.40 2.3 4-1
6 6 Rian 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 New Road 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Big Lie 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Staynsidethecircle 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Shimerville 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Scobeyville 10.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Chakotay 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Strong Breeze 12.00 4 8-1 Scr
1 1 Billy Lion Heart 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 7 Wind Spirit 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Actin Tiz 2.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Down With the King 5.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 El Tocayo 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Debonaire Man 15.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Peyton Place 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 British Fields 12.00 3 6-1
1 3 Hills Pond 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 2 Rudy’s Boy 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Midnight Poker 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 1 Hasta Ahora 5.00 4 8-1
2 7 Every Step 6.00 5.1 10-1 Scr
2X 9 Mess’n With Buddy 6.00 5.9 11-1 Scr
1A 6 At the Rock 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Couzier 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Dynasmart 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Indy Strike 2.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Beneficial Risk 4.00 5 9-1
9 8 Jim the Beast 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sir Win 15.00 5.9 11-1 Scr
5 5 Race to the Moon 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 December Red 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Al 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Dominick’s Dream 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Dreaming of Neno 8.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Malibu Sunset 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Bug Juice 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Ice Kaufy 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Wildcat Sailor 4.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Cohen’s Kat 3.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 He’s Cotton 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Double the Cheers 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Park Avenue Appeal 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Whispering Forest 20.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Untouchable U 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 6 Ballinskelligs 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Outsider Art 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Flatter Me Zanja 5.00 4.9 9-1 Scr
1 1 Gioia Stella 2.00 4.9 9-1
7 5 Sassy Little Cat 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Whogoosedthemoose 4.00 5.1 10-1 Scr
3 3 Cool 8.00 5.7 11-1 Scr
4 3 Bertranda 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 Offlee Brawn 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Langdarma 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Clubman 2.50 3.1 6-1
9 8 Vinceremos 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Maximian 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Secret Secret 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Degrom 15.00 7.7 15-1 Scr
1 1 The Catmancan 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Tactical Plan 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 Titanium Heart 6.00 8.3 16-1
11 10 Key Cheyne 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Irish Colonel 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Flashy Kyem 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bluegrass Luck 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Gorgeous Charli 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 People’s Champ 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Run for James 12.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Mai Ty One On 10.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Truly a Moon Shot 12.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Hodor 15.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Drosselmagic 20.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Little Schmo 10.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Runaway Mistress 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Don’tsellhimshort 10.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 In the Script 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Bestbandever 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Ok Now 4.50 5 9-1
9 9 Return of a Giant 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Ignorant Heist 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 My Cotton Jones 3.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 True to His Word 5.00 7.7 15-1 Scr
2 2 Megacosm 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Rocky the Kid 20.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Full of Charge 15.00 9 17-1
3 3 Unto Thou 15.00 9.6 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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