September 5, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Extrasexymazzerati |
1.40 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Rian |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
New Road |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Big Lie |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Staynsidethecircle |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Shimerville |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Scobeyville |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Chakotay |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Strong Breeze |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Billy Lion Heart |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Wind Spirit |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Actin Tiz |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Down With the King |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
El Tocayo |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Debonaire Man |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Peyton Place |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
British Fields |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
3 |
Hills Pond |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Rudy’s Boy |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Midnight Poker |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Hasta Ahora |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
7 |
Every Step |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2X |
9 |
Mess’n With Buddy |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
Scr |
1A |
6 |
At the Rock |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Couzier |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Dynasmart |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Indy Strike |
2.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Beneficial Risk |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Jim the Beast |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sir Win |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Race to the Moon |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
December Red |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Al |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dominick’s Dream |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dreaming of Neno |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Malibu Sunset |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Bug Juice |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ice Kaufy |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Wildcat Sailor |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Cohen’s Kat |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
He’s Cotton |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Double the Cheers |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Park Avenue Appeal |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Whispering Forest |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Untouchable U |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Ballinskelligs |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Outsider Art |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Flatter Me Zanja |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Gioia Stella |
2.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Sassy Little Cat |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Whogoosedthemoose |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Cool |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Bertranda |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Offlee Brawn |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Langdarma |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Clubman |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Vinceremos |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Maximian |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Secret Secret |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Degrom |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
The Catmancan |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tactical Plan |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Titanium Heart |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Key Cheyne |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Irish Colonel |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Flashy Kyem |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bluegrass Luck |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Gorgeous Charli |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
People’s Champ |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Run for James |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Mai Ty One On |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Truly a Moon Shot |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Hodor |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Drosselmagic |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Little Schmo |
10.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Runaway Mistress |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Don’tsellhimshort |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
In the Script |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bestbandever |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Ok Now |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Return of a Giant |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ignorant Heist |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
My Cotton Jones |
3.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
True to His Word |
5.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Megacosm |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Rocky the Kid |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Full of Charge |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Unto Thou |
15.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.