September 4, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Sally O’Prado |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Thea’s Reign |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Navajo Kitten |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Wink for Me |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kathywithak |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Saffi |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Gadwall |
2.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
El Mundo |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
African Chief |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Mokheef |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
R Big Bopper |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Saratoga Tommy |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
James P |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Southhampton Skye |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Pleasant Sojourn |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Army Man |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Freemark |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sethary |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
The Forty Factor |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Kid Has Rhythm |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Little Redwood |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Overnight Success |
4.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Nile Gold |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Left Side Drive |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Cousin Stephen |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Infinite Fiesta |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
He’s So Fine |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Final Ritual |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Gadget Man |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
I Am So Jealous |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kendricks |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Donald Levine Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Imperial Hint |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Lewys Vaporizer |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Life in Shambles |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Fast Friar |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
A Fleet Attitude |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Greenwood Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Scuba |
1.60 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Madefromlucky |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hawaakom |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Midnight Cello |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Let Me Go First |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bodhisattva |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Testosterstone |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Turf Monster S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Mongolian Saturday |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8A |
8 |
Snowday (FR) |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
11A |
11 |
Blue Y Gold (ARG) |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Bold Thunder |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
8 |
Holding Gold |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Rainbow Heir |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Pure Sensation |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Uncle Leo |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Two Notch Road |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Dubini |
10.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Swell |
20.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Smarty Jones S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Colonelsdarktemper |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Battalion Runner |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
You’re to Blame |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Pavel |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Talk Logistics |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Hence |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Bonus Points |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Hot Seat |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Midtowncharlybrown |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Homespun Hero |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Hold the Giant |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Here’s a Jetpack |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Doddsprivatelabel |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mello Groove |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Icona |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Ribot Star |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Hot Spice Girl |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Edfitzatmahle’sbar |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Royal Stage |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Dusty Street |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
She’s a Dandy Lion |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Elle Va |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Pink Satin N Lace |
6.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Jakob’s Tune |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Blyde River |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Unpredictable |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
British Bulldog |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Spring Emperor |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Byzantine Gold |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Victorious Venture |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Watch Captain |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Check This Out |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.