September 4, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bank Account | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of the Woods | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Stranglehold | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Roarin Missile | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lights On Brite | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Offlee Fun | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dayin Deauville | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Dozer | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Gold | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appollos Baby Girl | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seattle Train | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fahionably Late | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Etoile d’Allie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heidi Who | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Listen to Mama | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Je Suis Belle | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dundalk Bay | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Abigail | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | May Be Suspect | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Four O One K | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crafty’s Way | 1.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evasive Storm | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indigirka | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Diva | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moment in the Wind | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hopeful Joy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash N Go | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Rolling Meadows S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royalty Princess | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shezahotmama | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Babybluesbdancing | 0.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jolee | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tannah’blu | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Saturday’s Song | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Oak Brook | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nate the Natural | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Letthebigshot Roll | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cashel Rock | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Christian C | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Ridge | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Dixie | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Mo’s M V P | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Turbulence | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dreamofjean E. | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Clever Serve | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nook | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Cause Ioya | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Bella | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mallory’s Channel | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mystique Artiste | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Koala Lake | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ain’t That Funny | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cuddle Me | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizamint | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eva Destruction | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gritty Kitty | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Precious Kowgirl | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Exactness | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Profluent | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O No Not U Again | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gritty Greeley | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oltre’ Oro | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildwood Nafir | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mean Intentions | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Costly King | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.