September 2, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forest Gem | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Emerald Candy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ensign | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | J P’s Gia | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Endlessopportunity | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Callmewhatever | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Surfer Girl | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Richiesonarampage | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Run for Charlie | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pass the Gravy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Run Ryan Run | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Anthony | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Thomas | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Flight Mission | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Disorderly Conduct | 0.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Azeg | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bull Market Richie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Ghost to Ghost | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | La Pinata | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Command | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Drip Brew | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greeley’s Demon | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cordele | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mysouthernsunshine | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing With Eve | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeleys Delight | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nyoman | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simmstown | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Francois | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plains Warrior | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flying Mr K. | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saturdayatbernies | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Electrifying | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Limestone | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cash Bonus | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gorgeous George | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bajan Rhythm | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rivzinthehouse | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bill’s Production | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Boom Box | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Maestro | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bootleggin | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Welovecandy | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Boy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rich Tradition | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Legacy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lovedtalkintoeddi | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Da Goose | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devil Hunt | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willie’s Mon | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hiparko | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trumpified | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Arlington Heights S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Devileye | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | What’s Up Dude | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G. C. Crackerjack | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Go Oshie Go | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Richiesinthehouse | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Courageous | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Louise | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She’s Got the Mojo | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Blanco Brush | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Octacato | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Activa | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Girl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peppermint Ice | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flirtin Fool | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Gotta Go Back | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Sky Wonder | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monday Pirate | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wayne’s Ready | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Spittintumbleweeds | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tail Gunner Carl | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Savie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Battle N Away | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mister McGehee | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Enchanted Rambam | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Denoun the Road | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.