September 1, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Enduring Honor | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pirellone | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Monolo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heliodoro | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Augie’s Coming | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Grey (FR) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Maurice | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chipolina | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mermaid of Honor | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lenamarie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Radiant Beauty | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Talk Softly | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Striking | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Ornamental Iron | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Puttinyouonthenews | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lyrical Tale | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Gold Zipper | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Brattata | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Blessings | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Classy Act | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Special Trip | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Ad In | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Money Purse | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silver Assault | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | My Friend | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | High Five Cotton | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Italian Syndicate | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ethan Hunt | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Buddy Anthony | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Surprise | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Valhalla | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | I Stand Alone | 0.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Draxhall Woods | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Global Positioning | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Major League | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | War Eagle’s Return | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Tug of War | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All About Ashley | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lyrical Miracle | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Deep Sea | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scarf It Down | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Divine Interventio | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Decorated Soldier | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avast Matey | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Giantinthemoonlite | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kristofferson | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Believe Indeed | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Vasilika | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Desert Duchess | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dynamic War | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Way | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 2 | City Section | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jonquil | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | On a Star | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Madame Uno | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Laniakea | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Questeq | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Giro | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | D’funnything | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Marriedtothemusic | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Youdge | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Shane | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Animal Posse | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Proper Freud | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Excluded | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | With Exultation | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’ Eloquent | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New York’s Finest | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whatstotalkabout | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Manoffire | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Crocheron Kid | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tommy T | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Greek Alphabet | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Total Cooperation | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | I Can Do Anything | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Adulation | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pendleton | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unlockthepotential | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Fully Vested | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zap Zap Zap | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C Z Rocket | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Swayze | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Munchkin Money | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Madison Blues | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Alabama Bound | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet August Lady | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Amazing Anne | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lem Me Dance | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Electrified | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | About That Base | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Frosty Lady | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 16A | 16 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bree’s Got Heart | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Out of Trouble | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Votre Coeur | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Hollywood Cat | 3.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Zenbennie | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 12 | Light Reign | 50.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Lucky Coin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Undrafted | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Dowse’s Beach | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doctor J Dub | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Loose On the Town | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Rock | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | We Deer You | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ready for Rye | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spring to the Sky | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Mover (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Bartleby | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Follow the Signs | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | There He Goes | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jegos Fire | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O Captainmycaptain | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Private John | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Dooley | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Morning Daddy | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artic Storm Cat | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wondermeister | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Jumpinjack | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Man of Chrome | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run for Boston | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jolly | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victory’s Cash | 30.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Minus Two | 30.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.