September 1, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Miss Lucky | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Queen of Wildwood | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Plan | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fionetta | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Appollos Baby Girl | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Galehorn | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R Four O One K | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Toll Guard | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Insurgent | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crown Moment | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Like a Fox | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Portico | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ready to Fight | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ursula Andress (BRZ) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Back Page Star | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Canyon | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G P’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brewmistress | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes Mongolia | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Storming the Beach | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vino Limbo Tango | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Solar Flair | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cadet Captain | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Justice | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prize Native | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Latin Wild Cat | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Half of Manhattan | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Two Gun Jak | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Checkmate Charlie | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Roskilde | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spectacular Road | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carson Kan | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inkspired | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Richiesinthehouse | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Heart Stopper | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dad Are We Here | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strict Observance | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Fort Aiken | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wildwood’s Afleet | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Paddybdancing | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Fatty Langbein | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spectacular Act | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Straight Up Smarty | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Heir Ball | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bump Bump | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tam | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Don’t Tell Mom | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sullyvin’s G G | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s Pretty Cute | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wind Cheater | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Shaban | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bowknot Billy | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bruce’s Boy | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Results | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Jim | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reap | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hide the Evidence | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Greyt Oak | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Way | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outside In | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Codechief | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.