August 31, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Wunder (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Selection Sunday | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Balance the Budget | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardrock Eleven | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giza | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strongbox | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orchestra Leader | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Forge | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sicilia Mike | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Your Secret’s Safe | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One More Round | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thaddeus | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Irst | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Get Ready Freddie | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Regrets | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cookie Crisp | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dublin Express | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crafty Concorde | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Control Group | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minsky Moment | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Born for a Storm | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taoiseach | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Third Son | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Palladian Bridge | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Cozzy Spring | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moondance Joy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silly Sister | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jules N Rome | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shimmering Moon | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Young Anna Lee | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rip Loves Maize | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Stoney Bennett | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimateenticement | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Foolish Ghost | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. President | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New York Hero | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Zip | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12A | 12 | Engineers Report | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Delights | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Drive | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Five Star Bunt | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Causforcelebration | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shiny Medal | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Hold Me Black | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Royal Asset | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Grand Sky | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rappel | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Banana Thief | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Rate for Me | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Scramble | 1.60 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Lord of Love | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Portando | 2.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Seven | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 6 | Somekindofmagician | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Summer Mischief | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gosilently | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surface Strike | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Appealing Briefs | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ides of Arch | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Charge Latouche | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | St. Patrick Frost | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Zonic | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Catch a Cab | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | J J’s Dreaming | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Valour | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Constant Knight | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Prince Reigner | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ode to the Hunt | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manifest Destiny | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jupiter Rising | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mission Leader | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Storm Prophet | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cody’s Notes | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Thief | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lead by Example | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Chester | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nutzforboltz | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – P. G. Johnson S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mentality | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Life Time Citizen | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Babe | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Sienna | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild N Ready | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orbolution | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oldfashioned Style | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delta Outlaw | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Hay Listen Up | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Undercutter | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Right Ben | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kerry Boy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hy Brasil | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King of All Media | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bunyaan | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Aberdeen Way | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Open Bar | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Sky Fiftyfive | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Orphan Miracle | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Bold Illusion | 50.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saratoga Charlie | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.