August 27, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rockantharos | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nazareth | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smil’n From Above | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Octofy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia’s Storm | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scathing | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aloha Ke Akua | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chay Up and Away | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lostintranzlation | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Li’l Grazen | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luckiest | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seaquet | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acclaimed Cat | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Bit Lovely | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Not too Shiny | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vallestina | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Allie | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allsquare | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Jude | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beau Square | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shezroxiie | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empress Rules | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Saint Dermot | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | City Steel | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kristi’s Copilot | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blanket of Ice | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shackleford Banks | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Small Town Hero | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donji | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Doc Curlin | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bottle Rocket | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hitters Park | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Incensed | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Allaboutmike | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Party Factor | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swinging Star | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eight Spokes | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taima the Hawk | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Torrey Pines S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mistressofthenight | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paradise Woods | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zapperkat | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bernina Star | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Coated | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Munny Spunt | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Delitefull Lady | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Helen Hillary | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Paddock Pick | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nero | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Littlebitamedal | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Key to the Nile | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Alternate Rhythm | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warrior’s Lullaby | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Turnaround | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Dynamic Duo | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Doheny Beach | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lord Guinness | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Beautiful Shot | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Spring | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | First Ballot | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Elwood J | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bird Is the Word | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Absolutely Stylish | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buckys Pick | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ky. Colonel | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Golden Doughnut | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hootie | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taki’s Choice | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Conscripted | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reign On (GB) | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | True Valor | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sir Samson | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A New Trend | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Tiz Time | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Upperclassman | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Line | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Handful of Stripes | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Make It a Triple | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trapalanda | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demigoddess | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Waldorf | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rainbow Squall | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Action Hero | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excavation | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Member State (GB) | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Dude | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Patrick | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beaumarchais | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red King | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Union | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Full Access | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Taste’s Legend | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.