August 27, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Eyes | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B N a Native Girl | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emmie’s Gem | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hal’s Mischief | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devout Type | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Only Praise Me | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Five Star Nap | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chlobee | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can She Scoot | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Konza Khrome | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mysouthernsunshine | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Curlinup | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Dr. Clark | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alpha Kitalpha | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Rally | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shogood | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Briar’s Gold | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caitlins Road | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Oshie Go | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Grove | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star of the Market | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chosen Facts | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taste of Raj | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing High | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hide and Street | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Turned Back Twice | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hey Pretty Boy | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pale Hose | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do Not Enter | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Edging | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamite Stick | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kyzan | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heza Great Friend | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rickshaw Express | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strollinontheriver | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Rover | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jax Heritage | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supermans Cape | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paddy Not Patty | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Judge N Ruler | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suspenders | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Clever Girl | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | One Liz | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tasseography | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetbaby | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bonita Cat | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Assembly | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skyluck | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Don’t Split Tens | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prairie Rebel | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Sky Kowboy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | In the Chamber | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Memory Bank | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shakurr | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Ike | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Maxus | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.