August 25, 2017 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sunblock | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Purely Lucky | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Berning Rose | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Codrington | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Expense | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silverado Mist | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Northernstreetgal | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jody’s Song | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Misty Forest | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Reyana Reya Delite | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Lute | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Build to Suit | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Samadi Sky | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Noted | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond the Green | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toohottoevenspeak | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nobody Move | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eye Luv Lulu | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chilly Bon Bon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Fleet Indian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Ridge | 0.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonita Bianca | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Somekindasexy | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danielle’s Pride | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five Each Way | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Battle Station | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Barbarossa | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Iron Johnny | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scoopsie Patato | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6A | 6 | Throw the Deuce | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sandlot Star | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Potomac Two Step | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Violent Delights | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Engineers Report | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Badaboom | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 16A | 16 | Five Star Bunt | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chasindamoney | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Hot Rocks | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Disco Outlaw | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Just Bustin | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bit the Bullet | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Funny Cide S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Inalienable Rights | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin Platinum | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | What a Catch | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Pete | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Breez | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aveenu Malcainu | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alien Invasion | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Analyze the Odds | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Corey Q | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hope’s Roar | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Terralsole | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Catch Your Dreams | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kat O Mine | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Havana Affair | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hardly Mate | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wish Upon | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jacqueline D | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Canaan | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Halcyon | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Tiffany’s Vision | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kats Girl Cala | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Reconsider It | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Freckle de Freck | 15.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Yaddo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Bar of Gold | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Freudie Anne | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fourstar Crook | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ack Naughty | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flipcup | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barrel of Dreams | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Literata | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Feeling Bossy | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Charmer | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Jet Majesty | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Seeking The Ante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Newport Breeze | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tudox Lifting Off | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cause We Are Loyal | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beaux Arts | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Still Miss You | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pauseforthecause | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trouble for Skylar | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mystique | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Last Cast | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – West Point S. Presented By Trustco Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Get Jets | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Offering Plan | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Macagone | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King Kreesa | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kharafa | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Posse | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Changewilldoyagood | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fox Rules | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Black Tide | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | All Is Number | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Albany S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Tom | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’yer Mak’er | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamax Prime | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pat On the Back | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minsky Moment | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Broken Engagement | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can You Diggit | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Silky Way | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Enchanted Forest | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dab | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Danny’s Rush | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiz Wicked | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shades of Brown | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Cat | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Atwitzend | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Quai Voltaire | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Louisiana Lady | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Playwright | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Grand Valour | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Girolira | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Frost Proof | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | For Pops | 8.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Leatherhead Lurie | 50.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.