August 25, 2017 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Cannes | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Urban Cool | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mineyerownmalone | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firespike | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Hawk | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Montana Kid | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Desert Thief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Image | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Showersofblessings | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Forgot It’s Name | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Back At the Ranch | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Wind Chill Factor | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Golden Dragon | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donivan My Boy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Musketier | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Richiesonarampage | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broth | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy D | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Next Monday | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sho Poke | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Indian Oaks | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doda Doodleallday | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cheese a Dolly | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Looktheotherway | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greeleys Delight | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Girl | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Octacato | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Izabella | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Oh Oz | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gritty Greeley | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Pegasus Book | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Montezuma Express | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shotenough to Pop | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Minute Man | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shak’em Up | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smart Alex’s Posse | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | W W Distinction | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peej | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always a Catch | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | All Call | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Rock | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broken Key | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chas the Man | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Rivalry | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Dann Good | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Husky Clipper | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | A J’s Posse | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hint to Win | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commander’s Castle | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Don | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Espo | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stefan O’Eishen | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valid Storm | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Face to Face | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Found a Penny | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Danny B | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richiesgotswagger | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wynn Time | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Can Tour | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sync O’Paddy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harlanday | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bulldog of Bergen | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Savemethelastdance | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Lewis | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.